Post-fracture survival in a population-based study of adults aged ≥ 66 years: a call to action at hospital discharge

Abstract

Post-fracture survival rates provide prognostic information but are rarely reported along with other mortality outcomes in adults aged ≥50 years. The timing of survival change following a fracture also needs to be further elucidated. This population-based, matched-cohort, retrospective database study examined 98 474 patients (73% women) aged ≥66 years with an index fracture occurring at an osteoporotic site (hip, clinical vertebral, proximal non-hip non-vertebral [pNHNV], and distal non-hip non-vertebral [dNHNV]) from 2011 to 2015, who were matched (1:1) to non-fracture individuals based on sex, age, and comorbidities. All-cause 1- and 5-year overall survival and relative survival ratios (RSRs) were assessed and time trends in survival changes were characterized starting immediately after a fracture. In both sexes, overall survival was markedly decreased over 6 years of follow-up after hip, vertebral, and pNHNV fractures, and as expected, worse survival rates were observed in older patients and males. The lowest 5-year RSRs were observed after hip fractures in males (66–85 years, 51.9%–63.9%; ≥86 years, 34.5%), followed by vertebral fractures in males (66–85 years, 53.2%–69.4%; ≥86 years, 35.5%), and hip fractures in females (66–85 years, 69.8%–79.0%; ≥86 years, 52.8%). Although RSRs did not decrease as markedly after dNHNV fractures in younger patients, relatively low 5-year RSRs were observed in females (75.9%) and males (69.5%) aged ≥86 years. The greatest reduction in survival occurred within the initial month after hip, vertebral, and pNHNV fractures, indicating a high relative impact of short-term factors, with survival-reduction effects persisting over time. Therefore, the most critical period for implementing interventions aimed at improving post-fracture prognosis appears to be immediately after a fracture; however, considering the immediate need for introducing such interventions, primary fracture prevention is also crucial to prevent the occurrence of the initial fracture in high-risk patients.