Evaluation of cancer incidence among Marines and Navy personnel and civilian workers exposed to contaminated drinking water at USMC Base Camp Lejeune

Frank J Bove
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Abstract

Abstract Background Drinking water at U.S. Marine Corps Base Camp Lejeune, North Carolina was contaminated with trichloroethylene and other industrial solvents from 1953 to 1985. Methods A cohort cancer incidence study was conducted of Marines/Navy personnel who, between 1975 and 1985, began service and were stationed at Camp Lejeune, North Carolina (N=154,821) or Camp Pendleton, California (N=163,484), and civilian workers employed at Camp Lejeune (N=6,494) or Camp Pendleton (N=5,797) between October 1972 and December 1985. Camp Pendleton drinking water was not known to be contaminated between 1972 and 1985. Individual-level information on all primary invasive cancers and in-situ bladder cancer diagnosed from 1996 to 2017 was obtained from data linkages with 54 cancer registries in the U.S. Survival methods were used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) comparing cancer incidence between the Camp Lejeune and Camp Pendleton cohorts. Precision of effect estimates were evaluated using the 95% confidence interval (CI) ratio. Results Cancers among Camp Lejeune Marines/Navy personnel and civilian workers totaled 12,083 (354/100,000) and 1,563 (1,301/100,000), respectively. Cancers among Camp Pendleton Marines/Navy personnel and civilian workers totaled 12,144 (335/100,000) and 1,416 (1,372/100,000), respectively. Compared to Camp Pendleton, Camp Lejeune Marines/Navy personnel had adjusted HRs ≥1.20 with 95% CI ratios (CIRs) ≤3 for acute myeloid leukemia (HR=1.38, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.85), all myeloid cancers including polycythemia vera (HR=1.24, 95% CI:1.03, 1.49), myelodysplastic and myeloproliferative syndromes (HR=1.68, 95% CI: 1.07, 2.62), polycythemia vera alone (HR=1.41, 95% CI: 0.94, 2.11), cancers of the esophagus (HR=1.27, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.56), larynx (HR=1.21, 95% CI: 0.98, 1.50), soft tissue (HR=1.21, 95% CI: 0.92, 1.59) and thyroid (HR=1.22, 95% CI: 1.03, 1.45). Compared to Camp Pendleton, Camp Lejeune civilian workers had adjusted HRs ≥1.20 with 95% CIRs ≤3 for all myeloid cancers including polycythemia vera (HR=1.40, 95% CI: 0.83, 2.36), squamous cell lung cancer (HR=1.63, 95% CI: 1.10, 2.41) and female ductal breast cancer (HR=1.32, 95% CI:1.02, 1.71). Sensitivity analyses indicated that confounding bias due to unmeasured risk factors (e.g., smoking and alcohol consumption) is unlikely to significantly impact the findings. Conclusion Increased risks of several cancers were observed among Marines/Navy personnel and civilian workers likely exposed to contaminated drinking water at Camp Lejeune compared to personnel at Camp Pendleton.
对美国海军陆战队勒让营基地接触受污染饮用水的海军陆战队员和文职工作人员的癌症发病率进行评估
摘要背景1953 年至 1985 年期间,美国海军陆战队北卡罗来纳州勒让恩营基地的饮用水受到三氯乙烯和其他工业溶剂的污染。方法对1972年10月至1985年期间开始服役并驻扎在北卡罗来纳州勒让恩营(人数=154,821人)或加利福尼亚州彭德尔顿营(人数=163,484人)的海军陆战队/海军人员,以及勒让恩营(人数=6,494人)或彭德尔顿营(人数=5,797人)雇用的文职人员进行了癌症发病率队列研究。据了解,1972 年至 1985 年间,彭德尔顿营地的饮用水未受到污染。1996年至2017年期间诊断出的所有原发性浸润性癌症和原位膀胱癌的个人水平信息来自与美国54个癌症登记处的数据链接。使用 95% 置信区间 (CI) 比率评估了效应估计的精确度。结果勒让恩营海军陆战队/海军人员和文职人员的癌症发病率分别为 12,083 例(354/100,000)和 1,563 例(1,301/100,000)。与彭德尔顿营相比,勒让恩营海军陆战队/海军人员患急性髓细胞白血病(HR=1.38,95% CI:1.03,1.85)、包括多发性红细胞症在内的所有髓细胞癌(HR=1.38,95% CI:1.03,1.85)的调整HR≥1.20,95% CI比(CIR)≤3。24,95% CI:1.03,1.49)、骨髓增生异常综合征和骨髓增生性综合征(HR=1.68,95% CI:1.07,2.62)、单纯多发性红细胞瘤(HR=1.41,95% CI:0.94,2.11)、食管癌(HR=1.11)、食道癌(HR=1.27,95% CI:1.03,1.56)、喉癌(HR=1.21,95% CI:0.98,1.50)、软组织癌(HR=1.21,95% CI:0.92,1.59)和甲状腺癌(HR=1.22,95% CI:1.03,1.45)。与彭德尔顿营相比,勒让营的文职人员在所有骨髓癌(包括多发性红细胞症)、鳞状细胞肺癌(HR=1.63,95% CI:1.10,2.41)和女性乳腺导管癌(HR=1.32,95% CI:1.02,1.71)方面的调整HR≥1.20,95% CIR≤3。敏感性分析表明,未测量的风险因素(如吸烟和饮酒)造成的混杂偏差不太可能对研究结果产生重大影响。
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