On the heterogeneous trade and welfare effects of GATT/WTO membership

IF 1.5 3区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Gabriel Felbermayr, Mario Larch, Erdal Yalcin, Yoto V. Yotov
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

We quantify the effects of GATT/WTO membership on trade and welfare. Using an extensive database covering manufacturing trade for 186 countries over the period 1980–2016, we find that the average partial equilibrium impact of GATT/WTO membership on trade among member countries is large, positive, and significant. We contribute to the literature by estimating country-specific estimates and find them to vary widely across the countries in our sample with poorer members benefitting more. Using these estimates, we simulate the general equilibrium effects of GATT/WTO on welfare, which are sizable and heterogeneous across members. We show that countries not experiencing positive trade effects from joining GATT/WTO can still gain in terms of welfare, due to lower import prices and higher export demand.

Abstract Image

关于加入关贸总协定/世贸组织对贸易和福利的不同影响
我们量化了关贸总协定/世贸组织成员资格对贸易和福利的影响。通过使用一个涵盖 1980-2016 年间 186 个国家制造业贸易的广泛数据库,我们发现关贸总协定/世贸组织成员资格对成员国贸易的平均局部均衡影响是巨大、积极和显著的。我们通过估算特定国家的估算值,发现样本中各国的估算值差异很大,较贫穷的成员国受益更多,从而为相关文献做出了贡献。利用这些估计值,我们模拟了关贸总协定/世贸组织对福利的一般均衡效应,这些效应在各成员国之间是可观的,而且是异质的。我们表明,由于进口价格下降和出口需求增加,加入关贸总协定/世贸组织后未产生积极贸易效应的国家仍能在福利方面获益。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
5.90%
发文量
40
期刊介绍: Review of World Economics is a quarterly journal. Under the name Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, it was founded in 1913 as the world''s first journal with a focus on international economics. The Review has retained this focus, with particular emphasis on research in trade and trade policies, foreign direct investment, global supply chains, migration, international finance, currency systems and exchange rates, monetary and fiscal policies in open economies. The objective of the Review is to publish contributions of the highest quality and retain its status as one of the leading journals in international economics. Officially cited as: Rev World Econ
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