Soil Moisture Prediction Model Based on Improved GRU Recurrent Neural Network

Abstract

Soil moisture plays a crucial role in land water and energy cycles, and has a certain impact on weather and climate change. In agricultural production, crop moisture status can be determined based on soil moisture, and timely and effective irrigation strategies can be formulated to ensure grain yield while saving water resources, maximizing the value of agricultural water resource utilization, and achieving sustainable development. Therefore, the accuracy of soil moisture prediction has important research value for many fields such as agriculture and climate. In this paper, the super parameters of GRU Recurrent neural network are optimized by intelligent seagull optimization algorithm using a small number of influencing factors, namely, atmospheric temperature, atmospheric humidity, rainfall and soil moisture data, and a soil moisture prediction model is established. The model was used to predict soil moisture for the next 12 hours, 24 hours, 36 hours, and 48 hours, respectively. The final experiment showed that the model in this paper had better predictive effect on soil moisture, with the best predictive evaluation index data being MAPE (12h) = 4.4120%, R2 (12h) = 0.94605, and RMSE (12h) = 1.9998; By comparing the prediction results of multiple time steps vertically, it was found that the prediction accuracy of the model in this paper decreased more smoothly, meeting the requirements of soil moisture prediction.