Low-Carbon Economic Dispatch of Integrated Energy Systems in Multi-Form Energy-intensive Parks Based on the ICT-GRU Prediction Model

Abstract

This paper presents a solution to the issues of redundancy and ambiguity in predicting variables associated with renewable energy output while aligning with the objectives of the “dual-carbon” energy strategy. A low-carbon economic dispatch method for multi-form energy-intensive parks is proposed, employing the ICT-GRU prediction model. Leveraging historical generation data, the ICT-GRU model enables accurate forecasting of renewable energy output. Subsequently, a comprehensive energy system model is developed considering the carbon emission characteristics and control features of park entities. The model aims to minimize operational costs and facilitate low-carbon economic dispatch. The effectiveness of the proposed method is demonstrated through a case study conducted in a multi-form energy-intensive load park integrated into a power grid. The results validate its capability to achieve low-carbon economic operation and provide valuable insights for grid dispatch optimization.