Infrastructural development and trade performance in Sub-Saharan African countries

F. Kapingura, K. Sanusi
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Abstract

This study investigates the impacts of infrastructural development on trade performance in 30 sub-Saharan African economies using panel data from 2000 to 2020. The study employs the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) dynamic pooling estimator and Dumitrescu–Hurlin (DH) panel causality tests. The empirical evidence suggests that both transport and ICT infrastructure have significant and positive effects on trade performance in sub-Saharan African countries. It has been found that trade performance is not significantly impacted by the relationship between economic growth and infrastructure development. This underscores the slow pace of economic growth in the region. The Dumitrescu–Hurlin (DH) panel causality tests establish evidence of unidirectional causality from each proxy of infrastructural development to trade performance and not vice versa. The study concludes that the   sub-Saharan African government must purposefully invest in infrastructural development as a means to improve trade activity in the region. It is imperative to actively seek effective policies and a favourable macro environment to promote the necessary economic growth in order to fully realise the advantages and incentives of infrastructure investments.
撒哈拉以南非洲国家的基础设施发展与贸易绩效
本研究利用 2000 年至 2020 年的面板数据,调查了撒哈拉以南非洲 30 个经济体的基础设施发展对贸易绩效的影响。研究采用了广义矩法(GMM)动态集合估计法和杜米特里斯库-赫林(DH)面板因果检验法。经验证据表明,运输和信息与通信技术基础设施对撒哈拉以南非洲国家的贸易绩效具有显著的积极影响。研究发现,经济增长与基础设施发展之间的关系并未对贸易绩效产生重大影响。这说明该地区的经济增长速度缓慢。Dumitrescu-Hurlin (DH) 面板因果关系测试证明,从基础设施发展的每个代理变量到贸易绩效之间存在单向因果关系,反之亦然。研究得出结论,撒哈拉以南非洲国家政府必须有目的地投资于基础设施发展,以此来改善该地区的贸易活动。当务之急是积极寻求有效的政策和有利的宏观环境,以促进必要的经济增长,从而充分发挥基础设施投资的优势和激励作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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