The impact of political uncertainty on the cost of capital

IF 1.9 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

We investigate the impact of political uncertainty on the relationship between foreign equity portfolio flow and the cost of capital. Using panel data from 40 countries from 2001 to 2016, our results show that the year before a national election is associated with a higher cost of capital. Further analyses show that the relationship between international equity portfolio flow and the cost of capital is sensitive to political uncertainty. In line with the institutional quality channel, we find that checks and balances interact with political uncertainty to reduce the negative effects of political uncertainty on the cost of capital. The results are consistent with the hypothesis that foreign investors strategically reduce their equity portfolio investment to the recipient country before a national election which reduces risk-sharing between domestic and foreign investors.

政治不确定性对资本成本的影响
摘要 我们研究了政治不确定性对外国股票投资组合流动与资本成本之间关系的影响。利用 2001 年至 2016 年 40 个国家的面板数据,我们的研究结果表明,全国大选前一年的资本成本较高。进一步的分析表明,国际股票投资组合流动与资本成本之间的关系对政治不确定性很敏感。与制度质量渠道一致,我们发现制衡机制与政治不确定性相互作用,降低了政治不确定性对资本成本的负面影响。结果与以下假设相符,即外国投资者在国家大选前会战略性地减少对受援国的股票投资组合投资,从而减少国内外投资者之间的风险分担。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
17.60%
发文量
87
期刊介绍: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting deals with research involving the interaction of finance with accounting, economics, and quantitative methods, focused on finance and accounting. The papers published present useful theoretical and methodological results with the support of interesting empirical applications. Purely theoretical and methodological research with the potential for important applications is also published. Besides the traditional high-quality theoretical and empirical research in finance, the journal also publishes papers dealing with interdisciplinary topics.
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