Prospects of eVTOL and Modular Flying Cars in China Urban Settings

Abstract

Throughout much of human history, the vast majority of people lived in small communities. However, in the last few centuries, and particularly in recent decades, there has been a dramatic shift. A massive migration has moved populations from rural to urban areas. United Nations reports state that over 4.3 billion individuals now inhabit urban regions, which accounts for more than half (55% as of 2017) of the global population. In most high-income nations, including Western Europe, the Americas, Australia, Japan, and the Middle East, over 80% of people live in urban areas. This figure ranges from 50% to 80% in upper-middle-income countries like Eastern Europe, East Asia, North Africa, South Africa, and South America (United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs, Population Division, 2019). The urban population is anticipated to rise across all countries in the coming decades, albeit at different rates. By 2050, the global population is expected to reach approximately 9.8 billion, with about 6.7 billion residing in cities and 3.1 billion in rural areas. Despite this rapid urbanization, only around 1% of the Earth's land is allocated for urban and infrastructure development. While urbanization has spurred socio-economic growth, it has also led to significant challenges such as traffic congestion and air pollution. In China, the swift growth of cities has notably expanded urban areas and extended the commuting times of residents. The “2022 Commuting Monitoring Report of Major Chinese Cities” reveals that in 2022, over 14 million people in 44 major Chinese cities experienced extreme commuting, with upwards of 13% spending over an hour in transit (Baidu Maps, 2023). Beijing recorded the highest rate, where 26% of commuters faced this issue.