Transformer-based approach for Ethereum Price Prediction Using Crosscurrency correlation and Sentiment Analysis

Shubham Singh, Mayur Bhat
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Abstract

The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with other cryptocurrencies and the sentiments around the cryptocurrency. The model employs a transformer architecture for several setups from single-feature scenarios to complex configurations incorporating volume, sentiment, and correlated cryptocurrency prices. Despite a smaller dataset and less complex architecture, the transformer model surpasses ANN and MLP counterparts on some parameters. The conclusion presents a hypothesis on the illusion of causality in cryptocurrency price movements driven by sentiments.
基于变换器的以太坊价格预测方法(使用跨货币相关性和情感分析
该研究深入探讨了基于变压器的神经网络预测以太坊加密货币价格的能力。实验的假设是,加密货币的价格与其他加密货币以及围绕加密货币的情绪密切相关。该模式采用了变压器架构,适用于从单一功能场景到包含交易量、情绪和相关加密货币价格的复杂配置等多种设置。尽管数据集较小,架构也不复杂,但变压器模型在某些参数上超过了 ANN 和 MLP 模型。结论中提出了一个假设,即由情绪驱动的加密货币价格变动中的因果关系假象。
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