{"title":"Transformer-based approach for Ethereum Price Prediction Using Crosscurrency correlation and Sentiment Analysis","authors":"Shubham Singh, Mayur Bhat","doi":"arxiv-2401.08077","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural\nnetwork for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs\naround the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with\nother cryptocurrencies and the sentiments around the cryptocurrency. The model\nemploys a transformer architecture for several setups from single-feature\nscenarios to complex configurations incorporating volume, sentiment, and\ncorrelated cryptocurrency prices. Despite a smaller dataset and less complex\narchitecture, the transformer model surpasses ANN and MLP counterparts on some\nparameters. The conclusion presents a hypothesis on the illusion of causality\nin cryptocurrency price movements driven by sentiments.","PeriodicalId":501355,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Pricing of Securities","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - QuantFin - Pricing of Securities","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2401.08077","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The research delves into the capabilities of a transformer-based neural
network for Ethereum cryptocurrency price forecasting. The experiment runs
around the hypothesis that cryptocurrency prices are strongly correlated with
other cryptocurrencies and the sentiments around the cryptocurrency. The model
employs a transformer architecture for several setups from single-feature
scenarios to complex configurations incorporating volume, sentiment, and
correlated cryptocurrency prices. Despite a smaller dataset and less complex
architecture, the transformer model surpasses ANN and MLP counterparts on some
parameters. The conclusion presents a hypothesis on the illusion of causality
in cryptocurrency price movements driven by sentiments.
该研究深入探讨了基于变压器的神经网络预测以太坊加密货币价格的能力。实验的假设是,加密货币的价格与其他加密货币以及围绕加密货币的情绪密切相关。该模式采用了变压器架构,适用于从单一功能场景到包含交易量、情绪和相关加密货币价格的复杂配置等多种设置。尽管数据集较小,架构也不复杂,但变压器模型在某些参数上超过了 ANN 和 MLP 模型。结论中提出了一个假设,即由情绪驱动的加密货币价格变动中的因果关系假象。