Integrating Complex Derivative Models in Understanding Dollarization’s Impact on Sustainable Development Goals and Environmental Economics: A Neo-Classical Finance Perspective

Abdulgaffar Muhammad, E. Jeroh, John Aliu Nma, Anthony Unyime Abasido, Maryam Isyaku, Anthony Kolade Adesugba
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Abstract

Dollarization has major implications for sustainable development and environmental economics in developing countries. This paper integrates complex derivative models from neoclassical finance theory, including stochastic volatility, copula, and regime-switching models, to quantitatively analyze the impacts of dollarization. The models examine effects on poverty, inequality, economic growth, natural capital investment, and green bond financing access related to sustainable development goals and environmental economics. Despite limitations in assumptions, the models provide useful risk quantification. Results suggest dollarization exacerbates volatility and negative externalities, hindering sustainability objectives. The integration of derivative modeling and development economics provides an analytical framework for examining dollarization, indicating potential gains from gradual de-dollarization policies. Further empirical research is warranted to validate the theoretical insights.
整合复杂衍生模型,理解美元化对可持续发展目标和环境经济学的影响:新古典金融学视角
美元化对发展中国家的可持续发展和环境经济学具有重大影响。本文整合了新古典金融理论中的复杂衍生模型,包括随机波动模型、共轭模型和制度转换模型,对美元化的影响进行了定量分析。这些模型研究了对贫困、不平等、经济增长、自然资本投资以及与可持续发展目标和环境经济学相关的绿色债券融资渠道的影响。尽管存在假设方面的限制,但这些模型提供了有用的风险量化。结果表明,美元化加剧了波动性和负外部性,阻碍了可持续发展目标的实现。衍生品建模与发展经济学的结合为研究美元化提供了一个分析框架,表明了逐步去美元化政策的潜在收益。有必要进一步开展实证研究,以验证理论见解。
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