The COVID-19 Epidemic Process in Long-Term Care Facilities in Moscow

N. G. Davidova, S. Ugleva, S. Shabalina
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Abstract

Relevance. COVID-19 remains an urgent disease for long-term care institutions (LTCI), because local outbreaks of COVID-19 continue to be registered in 2022 and in 2023.Aims. To study the epidemic process of COVID-19 in LTCI (nursing homes, neuropsychiatric boarding schools) in Moscow for 2020–2022.Materials and methods. The analysis of the epidemic process of COVID-19 in LTCI was carried out for the period 2020–2022. Data of Automatic information system «Department of Registration and Accounting of Infectious Diseases was used: 5390 COVID-19 residents and employees of 28 institutions in Moscow and 3,239,617 residents of Moscow; 15 acts of epidemiological investigation of the focus of infectious disease in the period from 2020 to 2022.Results. In total, 9 increases in the incidence of COVID-19 were registered. The first rise was the most intense, which affected morbidity (81.14 per 1,000 beds per week), indicators of activity of epidemic foci (KO – 100%, IO – 21.08, R – 20.08), mortality (for 2020 – 32.6%). In the first rise of morbidity in nursing homes, there is a direct correlation of a high degree of connection with the morbidity of the population of Moscow (r = 0.906), and for subsequent rises there is a noticeable relationship (r = 0.580) at p<0.05. From 2 to 9 rises, the incidence tended to decrease. All the rises of COVID-19 occurred due to the formation of foci in institutions where the source of infection was employees. For 2020–2022, the proportion of severe cases of infection with a fatal outcome among residents ranged from 14.6 ±6.7% to 31.8 ± 6.5%.Conclusion. The analysis of the manifestations of the COVID-19 epidemic process in long-term care institutions in Moscow for 2020–2022 allowed us to distinguish two stages of morbidity.
莫斯科长期护理机构的 COVID-19 流行过程
相关性。COVID-19仍是长期护理机构(LTCI)的紧急疾病,因为COVID-19在2022年和2023年仍会在当地爆发。研究2020-2022年COVID-19在莫斯科长期护理机构(疗养院、神经精神寄宿学校)的流行过程。对 2020-2022 年期间 COVID-19 在 LTCI 的流行过程进行了分析。分析使用了 "传染病登记与核算部 "自动信息系统的数据:莫斯科 28 家机构的 5390 名 COVID-19 居民和雇员以及 3239617 名莫斯科居民;2020 年至 2022 年期间对传染病焦点进行的 15 次流行病学调查。结果显示,COVID-19 的发病率共上升了 9 次。第一次增长最为剧烈,影响了发病率(每周每千张病床 81.14 例)、流行病疫点活动指标(KO - 100%、IO - 21.08、R - 20.08)、死亡率(2020 年 - 32.6%)。在疗养院发病率首次上升时,与莫斯科人口发病率有直接的高度相关性(r = 0.906),在随后的上升过程中,与莫斯科人口发病率有明显的相关性(r = 0.580),p<0.05。从 2 次上升到 9 次,发病率呈下降趋势。COVID-19 的所有上升都是由于感染源为员工的机构形成了病灶。2020-2022年,住院患者中出现致命结果的重症感染病例比例从14.6±6.7%到31.8±6.5%不等。通过对 2020-2022 年莫斯科长期护理机构中 COVID-19 流行过程的表现形式进行分析,我们可以区分出两个发病阶段。
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