Executive action that lasts

Kenneth Lowande, Michael Poznansky
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Abstract

Unilateral presidential action is thought to be limited by the ability of successors to easily reverse past decisions. Yet, most executive actions are never formally revoked. We argue that because of presidents’ unique position as chief executive, some actions create outcomes that make policy reversal more difficult or even infeasible. We develop a novel measure of policies with more immutable consequences and analyze the revocation of executive orders issued between 1937 and 2021. We find the degree of outcome immutability reduces the influence of political conditions on policy revocation. We further examine these dynamics in three cases in which presidents have substantial discretion – diplomacy, non-combatant detention, and police militarization. Scholarship has long highlighted the president’s first-mover status relative to other institutional actors as a key source of their power. Collectively, our argument and evidence demonstrate this applies to their relationship with successors.
持久的行政行动
人们认为,总统的单边行动会受到继任者轻易推翻过去决定的能力的限制。然而,大多数行政行动从未被正式撤销。我们认为,由于总统作为行政长官的独特地位,有些行动所造成的结果会使政策逆转变得更加困难甚至不可行。我们开发了一种新的方法来衡量具有更多不可改变后果的政策,并对 1937 年至 2021 年间发布的行政命令的撤销情况进行了分析。我们发现,结果不可改变的程度降低了政治条件对政策撤销的影响。我们进一步研究了总统在外交、非战斗人员拘留和警察军事化这三个具有很大自由裁量权的案例中的这些动态。长期以来,学术界一直强调总统相对于其他制度参与者的先行者地位是其权力的关键来源。我们的论点和证据共同证明了这一点,也适用于总统与继任者的关系。
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