A Step-By-Step Hybrid Approach Based on Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Methods And A Bi-Objective Optimization Model To Project Risk Management

Mohammad Khalilzadeh, S. A. Banihashemi, Darko Božanić
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Abstract

Project success and achieving project objectives and goals highly depend on effective and thorough risk management implementation. This study provides a comprehensive and practical methodology for project risk management. In this paper, firstly, the risks were collected by analyzing the historical documents and literature. Then, the collected risks were screened using brainstorming and categorized into five groups. Subsequently, a questionnaire was made and the identified risks were validated using the Fuzzy Delphi technique. Also, the relationships between risks were determined using the Interpretive Structural Modelling (ISM) method. Moreover, the weights of the criteria used to rank the risks were calculated through the Fuzzy Best-Worst Method. Subsequently, the major risks were determined using the fuzzy WASPAS method. Furthermore, a novel bi-objective mathematical programming model was developed and solved using the Augmented Epsilon-Constraint (AEC) method to choose the optimal risk response strategies for each critical risk. The results demonstrated that the proposed framework is effective in dealing with construction project risks.
基于多标准决策方法和双目标优化模型的项目风险管理分步混合法
项目的成功和项目目标的实现在很大程度上取决于有效和彻底地实施风险管理。本研究为项目风险管理提供了一套全面实用的方法。本文首先通过分析历史文件和文献收集风险。然后,采用头脑风暴法对收集到的风险进行筛选,并将其分为五组。随后,制作了一份调查问卷,并使用模糊德尔菲技术对识别出的风险进行了验证。此外,还使用解释性结构建模(ISM)方法确定了风险之间的关系。此外,还通过模糊最佳-最差法计算了风险排序标准的权重。随后,使用模糊 WASPAS 方法确定了主要风险。此外,还开发了一个新颖的双目标数学编程模型,并使用增强ε-约束(AEC)方法进行求解,为每个关键风险选择最佳风险应对策略。结果表明,所提出的框架能有效地应对建筑项目风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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