CLIMATE CHANGE AND SECURITY: THE CASE FOR BLACK SEA

Maria Emanuela Mihailov, Lucian Grigorescu, Romel Pera
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Abstract

Climate change poses significant challenges to global security by exacerbating existing threats and creating new ones. Competition over scarce resources such as food, water, and land will likely increase as extreme weather events and temperature rise will become more frequent. Climate-related migration is expected to increase political tensions, and in some regions, could contribute to instability and conflict. The changing climate will also impact infrastructure, the economy, and public health, which will have far-reaching security implications. The current issue of climate change highlights the spectre of a new source of instability and conflict that can affect national/international peace and security. Although comparative research and projects on the security implications of climate change are expanding, there are still major knowledge gaps. The paper presents the specialized literature on short-term climate change and its possible influence on the Black Sea regional security. It is increasing the potential insecurities that can arise from extreme environmental phenomena. Based on the assessment, the authors outline priorities for future research in the area of interest and cover the necessary adjustments to facilities, materials, and equipment due to progressive weather changes. It also highlights that natural disasters may increase in number or virulence, necessitating the contribution of armed forces to national security.
气候变化与安全:黑海案例
气候变化加剧了现有威胁并产生了新的威胁,对全球安全构成了重大挑战。随着极端天气事件和气温上升变得更加频繁,对食物、水和土地等稀缺资源的争夺可能会加剧。与气候有关的移民预计会加剧政治紧张局势,在某些地区可能会助长不稳定和冲突。不断变化的气候还将影响基础设施、经济和公共卫生,从而产生深远的安全影响。当前的气候变化问题凸显了不稳定和冲突新根源的幽灵,可能会影响国家/国际和平与安全。尽管有关气候变化对安全影响的比较研究和项目在不断扩大,但仍然存在重大的知识差距。本文介绍了有关短期气候变化及其对黑海地区安全可能产生的影响的专业文献。它增加了极端环境现象可能带来的潜在不安全因素。根据评估结果,作者概述了相关领域未来研究的重点,并介绍了因天气逐渐变化而对设施、材料和设备进行的必要调整。报告还强调,自然灾害的数量或毒性可能会增加,这就需要武装部队为国家安全做出贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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