ESTIMATES OF THE ECONOMIC GROWTH OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION USING THE INDICATOR OF GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT FOR 1991-2021

O. Shumilin, G. V. Gioev, N. N. Kuzin
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Abstract

Today it is difficult to imagine an analysis of the country's economic security without assessing its economic growth. In educational and scientific publications, when assessing the economic growth of the state, the gross domestic product indicator (hereinafter referred to as GDP) is used, perhaps the main indicator of the economic growth of our state. The assessment of the country's economic growth involves the use of a system of indicators, on the basis of which a quantitative and qualitative analysis of the factors of ensuring the vital activity of the state is possible. The purpose of the system of indicators of economic growth of the state is to propose measures to create a clear state policy designed to minimize the risk of threats to economic security and ensure stable and sustainable development of the political situation and the progressive growth of the country's economy. This article presents the actual values of the GDP of the economic growth of the Russian Federation in the form of time series in various estimates, namely, in current and constant prices, as well as in the national currency — Russian rubles and US dollars — changes from 1991 to 2021. In the article, along with a standard set of dynamics indicators, calculations of absolute and relative accelerations of the time series are presented, which make it possible to comprehensively consider the processes of changes in the economic growth of our state.
利用 1991-2021 年国内生产总值指标对俄罗斯联邦经济增长的估算
如今,如果不对国家的经济增长进行评估,就很难想象会对国家的经济安全进行分析。在教育和科学出版物中,在评估国家经济增长时使用的是国内生产总值指标(以下简称 GDP),这或许是我国经济增长的主要指标。 对国家经济增长的评估涉及到指标体系的使用,在此基础上可以对确保国家重要活动的因素进行定量和定性分析。国家经济增长指标体系的目的是提出措施,制定明确的国家政策,旨在最大限度地降低经济安全受到威胁的风险,确保政治局势的稳定和可持续发展以及国家经济的逐步增长。 本文以时间序列的形式介绍了俄罗斯联邦经济增长的国内生产总值的实际值,包括各种估算值,即从 1991 年到 2021 年的现行价格和不变价格,以及本国货币--俄罗斯卢布和美元--的变化。 文章介绍了时间序列的绝对加速度和相对加速度的计算以及一套标准的动态指标,从而可以全面考虑我国经济增长的变化过程。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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