Prediction long term Surface Temperature Variation in Kurdistan Region using Meteonorm Weather Generator (MWG)

Abstract

The climate of Kurdistan Region was subjected to many changes that led to a noticeable rise in temperatures. The current study aims to assess the climate of Kurdistan Region-Iraq by using Weather Generator program (MWG). We have chosen two different regions which are Erbil and Duhok governorates. The global climate database (MWG) was run for the three climate scenarios B1, A1B and A2 for 2020, 2050 and 2100. The average temperature was calculated and analyzed for the period (2000-2009) for Erbil and Dohuk governorates. The results have shown that Scenario B1 predicted the lowest rise in temperature compared to Scenario A2 which expected the highest rise in temperature. The predicted temperature of Erbil is higher than Dohuk for the three selected years and scenarios.