Working More Years In Spain Has to Start from a Young Age: Lessons from the Labour Market Exit of People Aged from 50 to 65 in the Last Decade

Maria Andrée López Gómez
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Abstract

Since 2013, retirement age in Spain has been rising slowly from 65 to an expected 67 in 2027 and, with it, the minimum number of years of National Insurance contributions from 35 to 38. This policy is justified by sustainability of the social security system since the number of older people is increasing faster than the number of contributors. However, the policy has been criticised for not taking into account the diversity of working lives. The labour market and social construction of work differ with occupations and with gender, thus creating pluralities of working lives. Hence, the ways of leaving the labour market should take this diversity into account. Since the present wholesale policy of equally postponing retirement age for everyone overlooks the actual state of retirements, the aim of this study is to ascertain who has retired earlier or later in the last decade, the causes of exits from the labour market, and the repercussions on the number of years of National Insurance contributions. Premature exits from the labour market of people aged between 50 and 65 during the decade from 2010 to 2020 are analysed using data from the Continuous Sample of Working Lives (CSWL) taken from Spanish Social Security records. These are people who were born between 1945 and 1954. The results show that women work later than men, that people in Routine occupations tend to leave the labour market early, and that the number of years worked between the ages of 50 and 59 are a good predictor of prolongation of working life after the age of 60, although there are differences between the sexes.
在西班牙多工作几年必须从年轻时开始:过去十年中 50 至 65 岁人口退出劳动力市场的经验教训
自 2013 年以来,西班牙的退休年龄一直在缓慢提高,从 65 岁提高到 2027 年的预计 67 岁,国民保险最低缴费年限也随之从 35 年提高到 38 年。这项政策的理由是社会保障体系的可持续性,因为老年人口的增长速度快于缴费人数的增长速度。然而,这项政策因没有考虑到工作生活的多样性而受到批评。劳动力市场和对工作的社会建构因职业和性别而异,从而造成了工作生活的多样性。因此,退出劳动力市场的方式应考虑到这种多样性。由于目前对所有人一视同仁地推迟退休年龄的全盘政策忽视了退休的实际情况,本研究的目的是确定过去十年中哪些人提前或推迟退休,退出劳动力市场的原因,以及对国民保险缴费年限的影响。本研究利用西班牙社会保障记录中的 "工作生活连续样本"(CSWL)数据,对 2010 年至 2020 年这十年间年龄在 50 岁至 65 岁之间的人提前退出劳动力市场的情况进行了分析。这些人出生于 1945 年至 1954 年之间。结果表明,女性的工作时间晚于男性,从事常规职业的人往往较早退出劳动力市场,50 至 59 岁之间的工作年限可以很好地预测 60 岁以后工作年限的延长情况,但男女之间存在差异。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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