Industrial Marine Fishing in the Face of Climate Change in Peru

Edelina Coayla, Ysabel Bedón, Tomás Rosales, Luis Jiménez
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Abstract

Peru’s industrial fishery centers on the Peruvian anchoveta (Engraulis ringens), which is highly productive due to the marine conditions of the Humboldt Current. However, like elsewhere, the country’s marine fishing industry is linked to climate change. The objective of this study is to analyze the relationship between industrial marine fishing and climate change in Peru. Correlation and linear regression methods were used. A key variable of climate change is the sea surface temperature (SST). The study found that in Peru during 1997-2020, the higher the SST, the lower the industrial fishing catch ( α = 5 % ). There is also evidence of an inverse correlation between sea level and industrial catch; i.e., sea level rise would alter marine ecosystems. A positive correlation between landings of industrial marine fishing and exports for nonfood purposes was corroborated, especially fishmeal. The study concludes that the industrial Peruvian anchoveta catch is negatively affected by SST, fishing effort (search time in hours), and catch per unit of effort (CPUE). For the sustainability of Peru’s industrial fishery, climate change adaptation measures, such as a reduction of fishing effort and research on alternative production of fishmeal with unmodified natural inputs without or in combination with anchoveta, should be implemented. For the future, a change in fishing policies is required that replaces anchoveta for fishmeal with a warm-water marine species during strong El Niño events.
秘鲁面对气候变化的工业化海洋捕鱼
秘鲁的工业渔业以秘鲁鳀鱼(Engraulis ringens)为中心,由于洪堡洋流的海洋条件,这种鱼产量很高。然而,与其他地方一样,秘鲁的海洋捕鱼业也与气候变化有关。本研究旨在分析秘鲁工业化海洋捕鱼与气候变化之间的关系。研究采用了相关性和线性回归方法。气候变化的一个关键变量是海面温度(SST)。研究发现,在 1997-2020 年期间,秘鲁的海表温度越高,工业捕鱼量就越低(α = 5%)。还有证据表明,海平面与工业渔获量之间存在反相关关系;也就是说,海平面上升会改变海洋生态系统。工业化海洋捕捞上岸量与非食品出口量之间的正相关性得到了证实,尤其是鱼粉。研究得出结论,秘鲁鳀鱼的工业捕捞量受到海平面上升、捕捞强度(搜索时间,以小时计)和单位强度渔获量(CPUE)的负面影响。为了秘鲁工业化渔业的可持续发展,应采取适应气候变化的措施,如减少捕捞强度,研究使用未经改良的天然投入品生产鱼粉的替代品,而不使用或结合使用鳀鱼。今后,需要改变捕鱼政策,在强厄尔尼诺现象期间,用暖水海洋物种代替鯷鱼生产鱼粉。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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