Analysis of Crude Oil Price Determinants on Indonesia's Export Volume for the Period 1992 -2022

Fibria Anggraini Puji Lestari
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Abstract

This study was motivated by curiosity about the impact of world oil prices on the economy in Indonesia. The study was conducted in Indonesia and used secondary data from relevant agencies. The analytical technique used is multiple linear regression with time series data from 1992 to 2022. The results show simultaneous production variables, worldwide oil prices, growth, and exchange rates. have the same effect on export volumes. However, part of the production variable has a positive and significant impact, the world oil price variable has a positive but insignificant effect, the economic growth variable has a positive and significant impact, the exchange rate variable has a negative impact and insignificant to the volume of Indonesia's crude oil exports.
1992 - 2022 年期间原油价格对印度尼西亚出口量的决定因素分析
本研究的动机是对世界石油价格对印度尼西亚经济影响的好奇。研究在印度尼西亚进行,使用了相关机构提供的二手数据。使用的分析技术是多元线性回归,时间序列数据从 1992 年到 2022 年。结果显示,同时存在的生产变量、全球石油价格、增长和汇率对出口量有相同的影响。但是,部分产量变量对印尼原油出口量有正向显著影响,世界石油价格变量有正向影响但不显著,经济增长变量有正向显著影响,汇率变量对印尼原油出口量有负向影响且不显著。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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