Climate change impacts on global potato yields: a review

Toyin Adekanmbi, Xiuquan Wang, S. Basheer, Suqi Liu, Aili Yang, Huiyan Cheng
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Abstract

Potatoes as a food crop contribute to zero hunger: Sustainable Development Goal 2. Over the years, the global potato supply has increased by more than double consumption. Changing climatic conditions are a significant determinant of crop growth and development due to the impacts of meteorological conditions, such as temperature, precipitation, and solar radiation, on yields, placing nations under the threat of food insecurity. Potatoes are prone to climatic variables such as heat, precipitation, atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2), droughts, and unexpected frosts. A crop simulation model (CSM) is useful for assessing the effects of climate and various cultivation environments on potato growth and yields. This article aims to review recent literature on known and potential effects of climate change on global potato yields and further highlights tools and methods for assessing those effects. In particular, this review will explore (1) global potato production, growth and varieties; (2) a review of the mechanisms by which changing climates impact potato yields; (3) a review of CSMs as tools for assessing the impacts of climate change on potato yields, and (4) most importantly, this review identifies critical gaps in data availability, modeling tools, and adaptation measures, that lays a foundation for future research toward sustainable potato production under the changing climate.
气候变化对全球马铃薯产量的影响:综述
马铃薯作为一种粮食作物,有助于实现零饥饿:可持续发展目标2。多年来,全球马铃薯供应量增加了一倍多。由于气温、降水和太阳辐射等气象条件对产量的影响,不断变化的气候条件是作物生长和发展的重要决定因素,使各国面临粮食不安全的威胁。马铃薯易受高温、降水、大气二氧化碳(CO2)、干旱和意外霜冻等气候变量的影响。作物模拟模型(CSM)有助于评估气候和各种栽培环境对马铃薯生长和产量的影响。本文旨在回顾有关气候变化对全球马铃薯产量的已知和潜在影响的最新文献,并进一步强调评估这些影响的工具和方法。特别是,本综述将探讨:(1) 全球马铃薯产量、生长和品种;(2) 气候变化影响马铃薯产量的机制综述;(3) 将CSM作为评估气候变化对马铃薯产量影响的工具的综述,以及(4) 最重要的是,本综述确定了在数据可用性、建模工具和适应措施方面的关键差距,为今后在不断变化的气候条件下实现马铃薯可持续生产的研究奠定了基础。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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