Nuclear power plants in war zones: Lessons learned from the war in Ukraine

Joanna Przybylak
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Abstract

The aim of this paper is to examine the lessons learned till mid-2023 from the war in Ukraine to find out how attacking or seizing nuclear power plants (NPPs) can be utilised to advance military and political objectives during an armed conflict. The qualitative research approach has been applied to the study, focusing on an analysis of academic research and relevant acts of international law. In order to examine Russia’s approach to the attacks against the Chernobyl and Zaporizhzhia NPPs, numerous reports, official statements by the authorities, press releases, and Internet sources have been analysed. For evaluation of nuclear security and safety standards in Ukraine, the “seven pillars” model proposed by the International Atomic Energy Agency has been adopted. The study indicates that strategically located NPPs can be used as “nuclear shields” for the occupying forces deployed at the plant or nearby. They may also become useful tools of “lawfare” waged with the use of flawed interpretations of international humanitarian law. Finally, nuclear security-related narrations analysed in the paper clearly prove that seized NPPs can be effectively used in information warfare. The research leads to the conclusion that civil NPPs in war zones can be weaponised and exploited by the hostile forces not only for impeding energy supplies (and thus shattering the public morale of the adversary) but also for blackmailing and coercing the decisionmakers of the attacked state and their international allies with a vision of man-made nuclear disaster.
战区核电站:乌克兰战争的经验教训
本文旨在研究直至 2023 年年中从乌克兰战争中吸取的经验教训,以了解在武装冲突期间如何利用攻击或夺取核电站来推进军事和政治目标。本研究采用定性研究方法,重点分析学术研究和相关国际法法案。为了研究俄罗斯对切尔诺贝利核电站和扎波罗热核电站袭击事件的处理方式,我们分析了大量报告、当局的官方声明、新闻稿和互联网资料。为评估乌克兰的核安保和安全标准,采用了国际原子能机构提出的 "七大支柱 "模型。研究表明,位于战略要地的核电站可被用作部署在核电站或附近的占领军的 "核盾牌"。它们还可能成为利用对国际人道主义法的错误解释发动 "法律战 "的有用工具。最后,本文分析的与核安全有关的叙述清楚地证明,被占领的核电厂可以有效地用于信息战。研究得出的结论是,敌对势力可以将战区的民用核电站武器化并加以利用,不仅可以阻碍能源供应(从而打击对手的公众士气),还可以用人为核灾难的愿景讹诈和胁迫受攻击国家及其国际盟友的决策者。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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