Government assistance programs for internally displaced persons: assessing the impact on economic growth and labour market

Q1 Social Sciences

Administratie si Management Public Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI:10.24818/amp/2023.41-11

Halyna Yurchyk, H. Mishchuk, Yuriy Bilan

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this paper, we analyse the economic influence of expenditures on social protection of internally displaced persons (IDPs) trying to find a response to the research question: if social expenditures can be used in public administration as an effective tool for fostering economic growth and labour market development, or their only purpose is social support within the social responsibility of the government. Thus, we conduct our research using the case of Ukraine with its unprecedented scope of internal displacement caused by the war. To analyse the dependencies between social expenditures and economic growth we use the multiplier calculations. As a result, we found out that the expenditures on social protection of IDPs cause the growth of GDP with a ratio of at least 1:1,23. Besides, due to the indirect economic influence of social expenditures on consumer spending, it was possible to support no less than 13,7 thousand workplaces annually. To substantiate this impact, we used the authors’ method based on the evaluation of marginal propensity to consume and average cost to support workplaces (found as a dependency between consumer spending and employment). The proposed methodology can be useful for scientific analysis and justification of policy measures aimed at different social groups needing financial assistance from the government.

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政府对境内流离失所者的援助计划：评估对经济增长和劳动力市场的影响

在本文中，我们分析了支出对境内流离失所者（IDPs）社会保护的经济影响，试图找到对以下研究问题的回应：在公共管理中，社会支出是否可以作为促进经济增长和劳动力市场发展的有效工具，或者其唯一目的是在政府的社会责任范围内提供社会支持。因此，我们以乌克兰为例进行研究，乌克兰因战争造成的国内流离失所现象空前严重。为了分析社会支出与经济增长之间的依存关系，我们使用了乘数计算方法。结果我们发现，国内流离失所者的社会保护支出与国内生产总值的增长比例至少为 1:1,23。此外，由于社会支出对消费支出的间接经济影响，每年可以支持不少于 1.37 万个工作岗位。为了证实这种影响，我们使用了作者基于边际消费倾向和支持工作场所平均成本（作为消费支出和就业之间的依赖关系）评估的方法。所提出的方法可用于科学分析和论证针对需要政府财政援助的不同社会群体的政策措施。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Administratie si Management Public Social Sciences-Sociology and Political Science

CiteScore

6.00

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Is an international academic journal, published by The Bucharest University of Economic Studies, Faculty of Administration and Public Management and the International Centre for Public Management. Is an open access journal published in English, twice a year. Is double peer-reviewed. Includes articles prepared by scholars, researchers and practitioners. Is addressed to the teachers, researchers, Ph. D students, master students, undergraduate students, public managers, civil servants and to other categories of readers. The papers published in this journal: - Contain the research results of some researches and surveys developed by the authors. - Include new theoretical/practical and original approaches that were presented and analysed by the authors. - Offer solutions for the public managers problems. - Stimulate the know-how transfer from an institution to another, from a country to another in the areas of administration and public management. The paper proposed for evaluation can be sent throughout the year, preferably by the end of April or before the end of October. Main areas covered by the journal articles are: public management; public administration; public policy; public services; social economy; social environment; management of the nongovernmental organizations; human resources management in the public sector; decision making in public organizations; governance; communication in public sector; sociology; demografy; migration; globalization; other related domains.