Methodological foundations of risk analysis and assessment in the public sector

Abstract

The article offers the author's view on the development of risk assessment methodology in the public sector. Based on the analysis of generally accepted risk assessment methods, their comparative characteristics are given and an approach to the choice of risk assessment methods depending on groups of uncertainty factors is proposed. Due to the insufficiency of statistical and mathematical risk assessment tools, emphasis is placed on the system of calculation and analytical coefficients, in part of which an approach to the system of risk assessment indicators is proposed, depending on the type of public sector organization. Special attention is paid to the issue of determining an acceptable level of risk and a methodology for calculating it is proposed.