International Trade Friction and Firm Disclosure Tone: Evidence from China

Haoran Xu, Yongliang Wu, Min Zhang
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Abstract

Synopsis The research problem This study examines whether international trade friction has an impact on firm disclosure tone. Motivation The past two decades have witnessed a large amount of trade friction worldwide. Under this background, the impact of trade friction on microenterprises is of great concern to researchers. Previous studies have shown that trade friction is related to firm operating or financial activities such as performance, investment, stock prices, loan financing, and employment. However, there are no published papers about how trade friction impacts the disclosure behaviors of firms subject to the friction. This study attempts to fill this void by investigating whether firms manage disclosure tone when they are subject to trade friction. The test hypotheses We test two competing hypotheses in this study. Our first hypothesis is that firms impacted by trade friction increase the positive tone of their information disclosure. Second, firms impacted by trade friction decrease the positive tone of their information disclosure. Target population This study should be of interest to firm managers, investors, creditors, and policy makers. Adopted methodology Ordinary least squares regressions and archival data. Analyses We conducted this study by using a sample of listed firms in China. Over the past two decades, China has been the world’s largest country subject to trade frictions. In addition, China’s weak institutional environment and language habit provide an ideal setting for this study. Firm disclosure tone is measured as the frequency difference between the positive and negative words scaled by total words in an annual report. We tested whether there is a positive/negative association between trade friction and firm disclosure tone. Findings We find that firms strategically increase their positive tone in annual reports when they are subject to trade friction. Further analyses reveal that the impact of trade friction on disclosure tone is more pronounced for smaller firms, firms with more financial constraints, and firms with less analyst following. In addition, this impact is attenuated when firms have stronger corporate governance. Finally, we show that using more positive tones help firms subject to trade friction improve short-term market valuation, obtain more bank loans, and have lower cost of debt.
国际贸易摩擦与企业信息披露:来自中国的证据
研究问题简介 本研究探讨了国际贸易摩擦是否会对企业的信息披露基调产生影响。研究动机 过去二十年,全球范围内发生了大量贸易摩擦。在此背景下,贸易摩擦对微型企业的影响备受研究者关注。以往的研究表明,贸易摩擦与企业的经营或财务活动有关,如业绩、投资、股票价格、贷款融资和就业等。然而,关于贸易摩擦如何影响受摩擦影响的企业的信息披露行为,目前还没有公开发表的论文。本研究试图填补这一空白,调查企业在受到贸易摩擦影响时是否会对信息披露基调进行管理。检验假设 我们在本研究中检验了两个相互竞争的假设。我们的第一个假设是,受贸易摩擦影响的企业会增加信息披露的积极基调。第二个假设是,受贸易摩擦影响的企业会降低信息披露的积极基调。目标人群 企业管理者、投资者、债权人和政策制定者应该对本研究感兴趣。采用的方法 普通最小二乘法回归和档案数据。分析 我们以中国上市公司为样本进行研究。过去二十年来,中国一直是世界上受贸易摩擦影响最大的国家。此外,中国薄弱的制度环境和语言习惯也为本研究提供了理想的环境。公司信息披露基调是以年报中正面和负面词语的频率差值来衡量的,该频率差值按年报总字数缩放。我们检验了贸易摩擦与企业信息披露语气之间是否存在正/负关联。研究结果 我们发现,当企业受到贸易摩擦影响时,它们会在年度报告中策略性地增加正面语气。进一步的分析表明,贸易摩擦对披露基调的影响对于规模较小的公司、财务限制较多的公司和分析师关注较少的公司更为明显。此外,当公司治理较强时,这种影响也会减弱。最后,我们表明,使用更积极的语气有助于受贸易摩擦影响的公司提高短期市场估值、获得更多银行贷款并降低债务成本。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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