Determinants of Circular Economy: An Empirical Approach in the Context of the United States of America

Sugam Upadhayay, Kaveh Shamsa, Edmund Khashadourian, Alex Sherm
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Abstract

The USA is the world’s largest economy in terms of the consumption of resources. The excessive and irresponsible consumption of resources in the developed countries has jeopardized the stock of global resources. This quantitative study highlighting the importance of the circular economy (CE), has assessed the factors that would support the circular transition in the USA. Time series analysis based on the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was employed to analyze the impact of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, Research and Development expenses, and Renewable Energy consumption on circular economy in the US with annual data from 1971 to 2017. While the study indicated the existence of a long-run relationship between the GDP per capita and renewable energy consumption, no relationship was observed between research and development expenses and the circular economy. The study strongly emphasizes the need for policy interventions to enhance the level of awareness regarding circular economy, increase consumption of renewable energies and steering investments in research and development activities to support CE activities in the USA.
循环经济的决定因素:以美利坚合众国为背景的实证方法
就资源消耗而言,美国是世界上最大的经济体。发达国家过度和不负责任的资源消耗已危及全球资源存量。这项定量研究强调了循环经济(CE)的重要性,评估了支持美国循环转型的因素。研究采用基于自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型的时间序列分析方法,利用 1971 年至 2017 年的年度数据,分析了人均国内生产总值(GDP)、研发费用和可再生能源消耗对美国循环经济的影响。研究表明,人均国内生产总值与可再生能源消费之间存在长期关系,但研发费用与循环经济之间没有关系。该研究强烈强调,有必要采取政策干预措施,以提高人们对循环经济的认识水平,增加可再生能源的消费,并引导对研发活动的投资,以支持美国的循环经济活动。
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