Technology of scenario-based spatial analysis: planning regional economic development (on the example of Novosibirsk region)

Geodesy and cartography Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI:10.22389/0016-7126-2023-1001-11-18-30

I. Musikhin, O. Opritova, S. V. Taranenko

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Abstract

The results of the study on the spatial organization of the Novosibirsk region, as well as modeling and choice of optimal trajectories of its economic development using the technology of scenario-based analysis of the territory are presented. Based on the laws of mutual influence of spatial factors and main economic drivers of regional development, the best location of new links of production chains and infrastructure facilities are determined. The analysis of the spatial organization of the population distribution system, location of industrial, social and road transport infrastructure facilities in the Novosibirsk region is given. A number of investment and social scenarios of the regional economic development are simulated and evaluated. The work was carried out using GIS technology in combination with external software module and expert database. A variety of suitability maps for investment and social scenarios, infrastructure-secure areas, and best location of prospective production clusters/chains are generated. It is offered to use the described technology when planning regional economic development

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基于情景的空间分析技术：地区经济发展规划（以新西伯利亚州为例）

本文介绍了对新西伯利亚州空间组织的研究成果，以及利用基于情景的地区分析技术对其经济发展最佳轨迹进行建模和选择的情况。根据空间因素和地区发展主要经济驱动力相互影响的规律，确定了生产链新环节和基础设施的最佳位置。分析了新西伯利亚地区人口分布系统的空间组织、工业、社会和道路交通基础设施的位置。对地区经济发展的若干投资和社会方案进行了模拟和评估。这项工作是利用 GIS 技术结合外部软件模块和专家数据库进行的。生成了各种投资和社会方案的适宜性地图、基础设施安全区域以及未来生产集群/链的最佳位置。建议在规划区域经济发展时使用所述技术。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Geodesy and cartography

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