Trading Behaviour Exhibited by Institutional Investors During Calm and Volatile Periods in the Indian Scenario

Amit Kumar Singh, R. Shrivastav, Srishti Jain
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Abstract

The stock market is the reflection of the trading pattern of various investors. The present study attempts to examine the trading behaviour followed by foreign institutional investors, domestic institutional investors and mutual funds during 2010–2020 in the Indian stock market. The whole time period is divided into two subperiods using the chow breakpoint test. Two vector autoregression framework models accompanied with impulse response function and variance decomposition analysis are employed in both the subperiods, namely calm period and volatile period. It is found that the institutional investors do not pay heed to the market returns in the calm period, while the interdependency among the institutional investors increases in the volatile period. The structural break enhances the forecasting accuracy of the model significantly. This study will help the government to understand the impact of calm period and volatile period on the trading behaviours of the institutional investors and thereby their sentiments in the Indian stock market. JEL Codes: G1, G23
印度市场机构投资者在平静期和波动期的交易行为
股市是不同投资者交易模式的反映。本研究试图考察 2010-2020 年期间外国机构投资者、国内机构投资者和共同基金在印度股市的交易行为。利用周断点测试法将整个时间段分为两个子时期。在两个子时期,即平静期和波动期,采用了两个向量自回归框架模型,并辅以脉冲响应函数和方差分解分析。结果发现,在平静期,机构投资者并不关注市场回报,而在波动期,机构投资者之间的相互依赖程度增加。结构断裂大大提高了模型的预测准确性。这项研究将有助于政府了解平静期和波动期对机构投资者交易行为的影响,从而了解他们在印度股市的情绪。JEL Codes:G1, G23
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