New insight into decoupling carbon emissions from economic growth: Do financialization, human capital, and energy security risk matter?

Paul Terhemer Iorember, Solomon Gbaka, Abdurrahman Işık, Chinazaekpere Nwani, Jaffar Abbas
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Abstract

Against the backdrop of persistent climate change and deteriorating environmental pressure, this study integrates financialization, human capital, and energy security risks to provide new insight into decoupling carbon emissions from economic growth. The study employs annual panel data on the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) countries for the period of 1990–2019. The research employs the C‐S ARDL approach and the Tapio decoupling index to assess the decoupling status of the BRICS countries. In addition, this study applies the recently developed Juodis, Karavias, and Sarafidis Granger noncausality test for robustness. The findings offer compelling evidence of an inverted U‐shaped curve, aligning with the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis. Consequently, the results confirm the decoupling of carbon emissions in the BRICS nations. Furthermore, the Tapio decoupling elasticity index confirms different carbon decoupling statuses among the BRICS. The results show expansive negative decoupling for Brazil, weak decoupling for India and China, and strong decoupling for Russia and South Africa. In terms of policy, achieving strong decoupling status in the BRICS requires that financial institutions' lending and investing strategies align with environmental objectives. In addition, human capital development policies such as increased spending on education should be vigorously pursued to empower people to lead sustainable development projects.
碳排放与经济增长脱钩的新见解:金融化、人力资本和能源安全风险重要吗?
在气候变化持续和环境压力不断恶化的背景下,本研究整合了金融化、人力资本和能源安全风险,为碳排放与经济增长脱钩提供了新的视角。研究采用了 1990-2019 年期间金砖国家(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非)的年度面板数据。研究采用 C-S ARDL 方法和 Tapio 脱钩指数来评估金砖国家的脱钩状况。此外,本研究还采用了最近开发的 Juodis、Karavias 和 Sarafidis 格兰杰非因果关系检验法来进行稳健性检验。研究结果提供了令人信服的倒 U 型曲线证据,符合环境库兹涅茨曲线假设。因此,结果证实了金砖国家碳排放的脱钩。此外,塔皮奥脱钩弹性指数证实了金砖国家之间不同的碳脱钩状况。结果显示,巴西的脱钩率为负,印度和中国的脱钩率较弱,而俄罗斯和南非的脱钩率较强。在政策方面,金砖国家要实现强脱钩状态,需要金融机构的贷款和投资战略与环境目标保持一致。此外,应大力推行人力资本发展政策,如增加教育支出,以增强人民领导可持续发展项目的能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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