Bank Credit Channel of Monetary Policy in the UEMOA Zone: A TVP-VAR Approach

Prao Yao Séraphin, Anzara Xavier Fabrice Méa
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Abstract

The main objective of this article is to analyze the transmission of monetary policy in the WAEMU zone via the bank credit channel, using monthly data from January 1999 to December 2021. Methodologically, we apply a TVP-VAR model that allows coefficients to vary over time to reflect potential changes in time series dynamics. First, we find that the bank credit channel remains relatively weak in the union. Secondly, monetary policy shocks have evolved over time. Thirdly, the tertiary sector is relatively more responsive to monetary policy shocks than the primary and secondary sectors.
西非经济货币联盟区货币政策的银行信贷渠道:TVP-VAR 方法
本文的主要目的是利用 1999 年 1 月至 2021 年 12 月的月度数据,通过银行信贷渠道分析货币政策在西非经货联盟地区的传导情况。在方法上,我们采用了 TVP-VAR 模型,该模型允许系数随时间变化,以反映时间序列动态的潜在变化。首先,我们发现银行信贷渠道在联盟中仍然相对较弱。其次,货币政策冲击随着时间的推移而变化。第三,与第一产业和第二产业相比,第三产业对货币政策冲击的反应相对更灵敏。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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