Response of hydrological regimes to land use change: A case study of the Han River Basin

Hongxiang Wang, Weiqi Yuan, Wenxiong Chen, Fengtian Hong, Xiangyu Bai, Wenxian Guo
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Comprehensive and systematic research linking land-hydrological correlations is lacking in the study of factors driving watershed runoff variations. It quantitatively analyzes the overall watershed hydrological conditions using the range of variability approach (RVA) and applies the Budyko hypothesis to identify driving factors of annual runoff variations. The study also explores the impact of individual land use types on runoff across various timescales using the SWAT model in conjunction with historical and extreme scenarios in the Han River Basin. Results reveal that following abrupt changes, the Han River Basin experiences negative alterations in its hydrological indices and overall conditions. Among the driving factors, the lower cushion surface has the most significant impact on runoff. At an annual scale, runoff increases by 12.57 and 20.4% for cropland and construction land scenarios, while forest and grassland scenarios lead to decreases of 8.45 and 2.32%, respectively. Runoff sensitivity to land use changes is notably higher in the wet season than in the dry season at the quarterly and monthly scales. This study offers valuable insights into the integrated management of land use and water resources in the Han River Basin.

水文系统对土地利用变化的响应:汉江流域案例研究
查看 largeDownload 幻灯片查看 largeDownload 幻灯片 关闭模态在流域径流变化驱动因素的研究中,缺乏将土地-水文相关性联系起来的全面系统研究。本研究采用变异范围法(RVA)对流域整体水文条件进行了定量分析,并应用布迪科假说确定了年径流变化的驱动因素。研究还利用 SWAT 模型,结合汉江流域的历史情景和极端情景,探讨了各种土地利用类型在不同时间尺度上对径流的影响。研究结果表明,在发生突变后,汉江流域的水文指数和整体状况会发生负面变化。在各种驱动因素中,下垫面对径流的影响最为显著。在年尺度上,耕地和建设用地方案的径流量分别增加了 12.57% 和 20.4%,而森林和草地方案的径流量分别减少了 8.45% 和 2.32%。在季度和月度尺度上,雨季对土地利用变化的径流敏感性明显高于旱季。这项研究为汉江流域土地利用和水资源的综合管理提供了宝贵的见解。
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