Tree Cover Perforation and Malaria: Evidence from Colombia

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

A growing literature seeks to econometrically identify the link between tree cover change and malaria, two of the most pressing problems facing the Global South. However, we know little about the effect of tree cover fragmentation on malaria transmission, even though correlational evidence suggests that this effect may be important. We use municipality-level panel data from Colombia along with two-way fixed effects models to identify the effect on malaria incidence of changes in two measures of tree cover fragmentation—perforation and edge—as well as of a conventional measure of aggregate tree cover loss. We find that perforation in core areas of tree cover spurs malaria transmission. Evidence for the effects of changes in edge and aggregate loss is weaker. On average, a one-percentage-point increase in contemporaneous perforation leads to a 12.7% increase in malaria cases. This effect is stronger in municipalities with gold production and in those with coca production. These findings provide further evidence that forest conservation has significant benefits for local communities. They can also help stakeholders improve the efficacy of policies to stem malaria transmission.

树木覆盖率与疟疾:来自哥伦比亚的证据
摘要 越来越多的文献试图通过经济计量学方法确定树木覆盖变化与疟疾这两个全球南部地区面临的最紧迫问题之间的联系。然而,我们对树木植被破碎对疟疾传播的影响知之甚少,尽管相关证据表明这种影响可能很重要。我们利用哥伦比亚市级面板数据和双向固定效应模型,确定了树木覆盖破碎度的两种测量指标--穿孔和边缘--以及树木覆盖总损失的传统测量指标的变化对疟疾发病率的影响。我们发现,树木覆盖核心区域的穿孔会刺激疟疾传播。边缘和总体损失变化的影响证据较弱。平均而言,同期穿孔率每增加一个百分点,疟疾病例就会增加 12.7%。这种影响在有黄金生产的城市和有古柯生产的城市更为明显。这些发现进一步证明了森林保护对当地社区的重大益处。它们还可以帮助利益相关者提高遏制疟疾传播政策的效率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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