Environmental Risk Assessment of Hydrocarbon-Rich Sludge of a Gas Refinery Using the Integrated Approach of PMBOK Standard Risk Management and FMEA Technique: A Case Study

Mehdi Khezri, Maryam Farahani, Saeed Motahhari, Bita Azadbakht
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Abstract

Background: The present study aimed to assess the potential hazards of hydrocarbon-rich gas refinery sludge from the South Pars Gas Complex-First Refinery, Iran, and to analyze how these risks could impact the project goals based on the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK) guidelines. Methods: Statistical population of this analytical, cross-sectional survey was 31 health, safety, and environment (HSE) experts from the study refinery selected by purposeful sampling. Environmental, health, safety, and technical risks were categorized and identified using the PMBOK guidelines. Delphi method and 5-point Likert scale questionnaire were employed to assess the significance of each risk. Priority one risks within each category were determined using Primavera Risk Analysis version 8.7 software. Results: Following three Delphi steps, 17 out of 77 primary risks were identified and finalized. The first rank with the highest weight corresponded to time and cost group (the risk of soil contamination via sludge stored in the burn pit due to aliphatic and aromatic hydrocarbons), human resources group (radioactive materials accumulated on the inner surfaces of pipes, valves, pumps, heat exchangers, tanks, boilers and other equipment and the risk of these materials being hazardous for human health), and quality group (failure to supply equipment and quality control systems and personal protective equipment). Conclusion: The research findings pinpointed 17 risks within various domains, encompassing time and cost, human resources, quality, contract, scope, and communication. These identified risks necessitate a comprehensive, integrated approach to risk management for effective mitigation and resolution.
使用 PMBOK 标准风险管理和 FMEA 技术的综合方法对某天然气精炼厂富含碳氢化合物的污泥进行环境风险评估:案例研究
背景:本研究旨在评估伊朗南帕尔斯天然气综合体-第一炼油厂富含碳氢化合物的天然气炼油污泥的潜在危害,并根据项目管理知识体系 (PMBOK) 指南分析这些风险会如何影响项目目标。方法:本次分析性横断面调查的统计对象是通过有目的抽样从研究对象炼油厂中选出的 31 名健康、安全和环境 (HSE) 专家。采用 PMBOK 指南对环境、健康、安全和技术风险进行了分类和识别。采用德尔菲法和 5 点李克特量表问卷来评估每种风险的重要性。使用 Primavera 风险分析 8.7 版软件确定了每个类别中的第一优先风险。结果:经过三个德尔菲法步骤,77 项主要风险中的 17 项被确定下来。时间和成本组(脂肪族和芳香族碳氢化合物导致焚烧坑中储存的污泥污染土壤的风险)、人力资源组(管道、阀门、泵、热交换器、储罐、锅炉和其他设备内表面积累的放射性物质以及这些物质危害人体健康的风险)和质量组(无法提供设备和质量控制系统以及个人防护设备)的权重最高,排名第一。结论研究结果在时间和成本、人力资源、质量、合同、范围和沟通等不同领域确定了 17 项风险。要有效缓解和解决这些已确定的风险,就必须采取全面、综合的风险管理方法。
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