Low Carbon Agriculture Plan: an analysis for the period 1990 - 2018

Abstract

This article aimed to present the goals of the ABC Plan for low-carbon agriculture, and uses the multiple regressions modeling technique to investigate economic activity variables in relation to CO2 emissions over the period from 1990 to 2018 in all Brazilian states. The results show that the CO2 emissions in the states, have the same behavior as the land use change timeline, and that public policies and society actions were fundamental to the decrease verified in both CO2 emissions and the change in use, of the land observed from the year 2004 until 2010. From this year, followed a trend of stability in CO2 emissions and land use change. Another important characteristic is that despite the decrease in the number of deforestations, economic activities continued to grow in the regions, which demonstrates that there may be an increase in production even though the numbers of deforestation and CO2 emissions are decreasing. This information, strengthen the Low Carbon Agriculture Program, as the main strategy for the development of the productive sector, mainly for sustainable agriculture.