{"title":"Relating Tropical Cyclone Intensification Rate to Precipitation and Convective Features in the Inner Core","authors":"Xinxi Wang, Haiyan Jiang, Oscar Guzman","doi":"10.1175/waf-d-23-0155.1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"\nUsing Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager observations of global tropical cyclones (TCs) from 1998 to 2013, relationships between TC intensification rate and inner-core convective and precipitation parameters are examined by decoupling the dependency of these parameters on TC intensity and that on TC intensification rate. Sixteen TC intensity change-intensity categories are categorized based on the initial intensity and 24-h future intensity change. The results show that the TC inner-core mean rain rate, convective intensity, and stratiform rain occurrence, and axisymmetric index of convective intensity increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each TC intensity category. The symmetry of rain rate and stratiform rainfall occurrence also increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each intensity category, except from slowly intensifying (SI) to rapidly intensifying (RI) group when the initial intensity is major hurricane. The RI major hurricanes have significantly more asymmetric rainfall distribution and distribution of stratiform rainfall occurrence than those of SI major hurricanes. For TCs with initial intensity in tropical depression, tropical storm, and major hurricane categories, the RI group has a significantly more asymmetric pattern of shallow precipitation/convection occurrence in the inner core than the SI group, while it has a significantly more symmetric pattern of deep convection occurrence than the SI group. The inner-core size, as quantified by the radius of maximum azimuthal mean rainfall decreases with both TC intensification rate and TC intensity.","PeriodicalId":49369,"journal":{"name":"Weather and Forecasting","volume":" 19","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":3.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Weather and Forecasting","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1175/waf-d-23-0155.1","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Microwave Imager observations of global tropical cyclones (TCs) from 1998 to 2013, relationships between TC intensification rate and inner-core convective and precipitation parameters are examined by decoupling the dependency of these parameters on TC intensity and that on TC intensification rate. Sixteen TC intensity change-intensity categories are categorized based on the initial intensity and 24-h future intensity change. The results show that the TC inner-core mean rain rate, convective intensity, and stratiform rain occurrence, and axisymmetric index of convective intensity increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each TC intensity category. The symmetry of rain rate and stratiform rainfall occurrence also increase significantly with TC intensification rate for each intensity category, except from slowly intensifying (SI) to rapidly intensifying (RI) group when the initial intensity is major hurricane. The RI major hurricanes have significantly more asymmetric rainfall distribution and distribution of stratiform rainfall occurrence than those of SI major hurricanes. For TCs with initial intensity in tropical depression, tropical storm, and major hurricane categories, the RI group has a significantly more asymmetric pattern of shallow precipitation/convection occurrence in the inner core than the SI group, while it has a significantly more symmetric pattern of deep convection occurrence than the SI group. The inner-core size, as quantified by the radius of maximum azimuthal mean rainfall decreases with both TC intensification rate and TC intensity.
期刊介绍:
Weather and Forecasting (WAF) (ISSN: 0882-8156; eISSN: 1520-0434) publishes research that is relevant to operational forecasting. This includes papers on significant weather events, forecasting techniques, forecast verification, model parameterizations, data assimilation, model ensembles, statistical postprocessing techniques, the transfer of research results to the forecasting community, and the societal use and value of forecasts. The scope of WAF includes research relevant to forecast lead times ranging from short-term “nowcasts” through seasonal time scales out to approximately two years.