External Financing and Financial Development in Developing Countries: Aggregate and Disaggregate Empirical Evidence from West Africa

Afees Oluwashina Noah, Maryam Jumai Abdulmumini, Ibrahim Ohize Rahji, Oladipo Olalekan David
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Abstract

External financing as one of the drivers of financial development remains a subject of ongoing debate. While some studies assert a positive influence, others dispute this claim. This study contributes to the existing studies on the subject matter, with the primary objective of examining the overall or aggregate effects of external financing on financial development. Specifically, the study examines the individual effects of external financing factors (FDI, ODA, and remittances) on financial development, both in the short and long run, by employing annual panel data spanning from 1980 to 2021 for the selected West African countries. To achieve this, the study employs the panel autoregressive distributed lag (PARDL) variants (mean group - MG, dynamic fixed effect - DFE, and pooled mean group - PMG) techniques. The results from the PMG and DFE estimations reveal that external financing as a whole has an impact on financial development in West African countries both in the long and short run. Remittance, economic growth, and inflation rate also have a significant influence on financial development both in the long and short run. While ODA is detrimental to financial development in the long run, FDI does not influence financial development. It is therefore imperative for stakeholders within the sub-region to encourage and facilitate the use of remittances, economic growth, and inflation rate as means of promoting financial development in West Africa, while simultaneously ensuring that FDI and ODA are used to promote self-sufficiency and financial stability and align with the region’s developmental goals.
发展中国家的外部融资和金融发展:西非的总体和分类经验证据
外部融资作为金融发展的驱动力之一,仍然是一个持续辩论的话题。一些研究认为其具有积极影响,而另一些研究则对这一说法提出质疑。本研究为现有的相关研究做出了贡献,其主要目标是研究外部融资对金融发展的总体或综合影响。具体来说,本研究通过使用选定西非国家从 1980 年到 2021 年的年度面板数据,研究了外部融资因素(外国直接投资、官方发展援助和汇款)对金融发展的短期和长期个别影响。为此,研究采用了面板自回归分布滞后(PARDL)变体(均值组-MG、动态固定效应-DFE 和集合均值组-PMG)技术。PMG和DFE的估计结果表明,外部融资作为一个整体,无论从长期还是短期来看,都会对西非国家的金融发展产生影响。汇款、经济增长和通货膨胀率对金融发展也有长期和短期的显著影响。从长期来看,官方发展援助不利于金融发展,而外国直接投资却不会影响金融发展。因此,次区域内的利益攸关方必须鼓励和促进利用汇款、经济增长和通货膨胀率作为促进西非金融发展的手段,同时确保外国直接投资和官方发展援助用于促进自给自足和金融稳定,并与该区域的发展目标保持一致。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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