An In-Depth Analysis of Credit, Capital, and Operational Risks on Regional Development Banks' Performance Amidst the Covid-19 Pandemic

Sutrisno Sutrisno
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Abstract

The Covid-19 pandemic has hit the world since the end of 2019 and has damaged the world economy, including Indonesia. Banking as a financial institution that provides funding to companies is also affected. Because the pandemic has reduced the company's performance, and this decline in performance has had an impact on banking. The aim of this research is to test whether the Covid-19 pandemic has an impact on the relationship between risk factors and bank performance. Bank performance is measured by profitability which consists of return on assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE), while bank risk in this study consists of credit risk, liquidity risk, capital, operational risk and the Covid-19 pandemic. The population in this research is the Regional Development Banks (BPD) in Indonesia totaling 34 banks with a sample of 30 banks. The observation period was 4 years with quarterly data so that 320 observation data were collected. Hypothesis testing uses panel data regression, and to select the best regression model, the model will be tested using the Chow-test, Hausman-test, and Lagrange Multiplier test. After the model test was carried out, the fixed effect model was selected as the best model. The research results show that credit risk and operational risk have a significant and negative influence on all profitability, both ROA and ROE. Meanwhile, liquidity risk (LDR) has no effect on both types of profitability, while capital has an effect on ROE but has no effect on ROA. Another interesting result is that the Covid-19 pandemic has no impact on the influence of risk on bank performance.
深入分析信贷、资本和运营风险对 Covid-19 疫情中地区发展银行业绩的影响
自 2019 年底以来,Covid-19 大流行病席卷全球,损害了包括印度尼西亚在内的世界经济。银行业作为为企业提供资金的金融机构也受到了影响。因为大流行降低了公司的业绩,而业绩的下降对银行业也产生了影响。本研究的目的是检验 Covid-19 大流行是否会对风险因素与银行业绩之间的关系产生影响。银行业绩由盈利能力衡量,盈利能力包括资产回报率(ROA)和股本回报率(ROE),而本研究中的银行风险包括信贷风险、流动性风险、资本、操作风险和 Covid-19 大流行病。研究对象为印度尼西亚的地区发展银行(BPD),共 34 家银行,样本为 30 家银行。观察期为 4 年,每季度收集一次数据,因此共收集到 320 个观察数据。假设检验使用面板数据回归,为选择最佳回归模型,将使用周氏检验、豪斯曼检验和拉格朗日乘数检验对模型进行检验。经过模型检验,固定效应模型被选为最佳模型。研究结果表明,信用风险和操作风险对所有盈利能力,包括 ROA 和 ROE 都有显著的负面影响。同时,流动性风险(LDR)对两种盈利能力都没有影响,而资本对 ROE 有影响,但对 ROA 没有影响。另一个有趣的结果是,Covid-19 大流行对风险对银行绩效的影响没有影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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