PANDEMIC IMPACT ON TRAFFIC TRENDS AND PATTERNS IN THE CITY OF BELGRADE

IF 1.3 4区 工程技术 Q3 TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY
Draženko Glavić, Ana Trpković, Marija Milenković, Sreten Jevremović
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Abstract

The appearance of the COVID-19 virus has caused great changes in all spheres of life. Probably the most visible change is the cities’ lockdown, with the suspension of traffic and transport systems. The capital of the Serbia – Belgrade also went through a complete lockdown, which lasted for almost 2 months (53 days). In that period, nearly all activities were reduced, producing significant losses for the whole economic development, healthcare, food supply chain, transport sector and most importantly public transport system. The behaviour of users in such situations can greatly influence the change in the share of certain modes of transport in the overall modal share. The aim of this article is to examine the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the transport mode choice for different trip purposes, as well as the examination of different impact factors, such as gender, age, education level, employment status, income, transport mode used before the pandemic, and average distance travelled, on the change of mode of transport. Data of 1143 users were analysed through a survey, for the area of the city of Belgrade, using the McNemar–Bowker test and binary logistic regression. The results showed that pandemic had a significant impact on the transport mode change for all trip purposes. The key factors influencing the change in the mode of transport are factors related to gender, level of education, income, the type of transport used before the pandemic and the average distance travelled. It is also interesting to note that the results showed a significant number of transfers to individual modes of transport, as well as micromobility vehicles and walking. Therefore, this article provides the necessary help in understanding the transport system user’s behaviour, which can facilitate the choice of adequate measures, modes and activities for decision-makers in these specific situations.
大流行病对贝尔格莱德市交通趋势和模式的影响
COVID-19 病毒的出现给生活的各个领域都带来了巨大的变化。最明显的变化可能是城市封锁,交通和运输系统暂停。塞尔维亚首都贝尔格莱德也经历了近两个月(53 天)的全面封锁。在此期间,几乎所有活动都减少了,给整个经济发展、医疗保健、食品供应链、交通部门以及最重要的公共交通系统造成了重大损失。用户在这种情况下的行为会在很大程度上影响某些交通方式在总体交通方式中所占比例的变化。本文旨在研究 COVID-19 大流行对不同出行目的的交通方式选择的影响,以及不同影响因素(如性别、年龄、教育水平、就业状况、收入、大流行前使用的交通方式和平均出行距离)对交通方式变化的影响。通过对贝尔格莱德市地区 1143 名用户的调查,使用 McNemar-Bowker 检验法和二元逻辑回归法对数据进行了分析。结果显示,大流行对所有出行目的的交通方式改变都有显著影响。影响交通方式改变的关键因素与性别、教育水平、收入、大流行前使用的交通工具类型和平均出行距离有关。此外,值得注意的是,研究结果表明,有相当多的人转用了个别交通方式,以及微型交通工具和步行。因此,这篇文章为了解交通系统用户的行为提供了必要的帮助,有助于决策者在这些特定情况下选择适当的措施、模式和活动。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Transport
Transport Engineering-Mechanical Engineering
CiteScore
3.40
自引率
5.90%
发文量
19
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: At present, transport is one of the key branches playing a crucial role in the development of economy. Reliable and properly organized transport services are required for a professional performance of industry, construction and agriculture. The public mood and efficiency of work also largely depend on the valuable functions of a carefully chosen transport system. A steady increase in transportation is accompanied by growing demands for a higher quality of transport services and optimum efficiency of transport performance. Currently, joint efforts taken by the transport experts and governing institutions of the country are required to develop and enhance the performance of the national transport system conducting theoretical and empirical research. TRANSPORT is an international peer-reviewed journal covering main aspects of transport and providing a source of information for the engineer and the applied scientist. The journal TRANSPORT publishes articles in the fields of: transport policy; fundamentals of the transport system; technology for carrying passengers and freight using road, railway, inland waterways, sea and air transport; technology for multimodal transportation and logistics; loading technology; roads, railways; airports, ports, transport terminals; traffic safety and environment protection; design, manufacture and exploitation of motor vehicles; pipeline transport; transport energetics; fuels, lubricants and maintenance materials; teamwork of customs and transport; transport information technologies; transport economics and management; transport standards; transport educology and history, etc.
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