CAMEL MODEL ANALYSIS AND DISCRIMINANT ANALYSIS OF COMMERCIAL BANKS’ PERFORMANCE IN GUYANA, SOUTH AMERICA

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Abstract

The study evaluates the performance of commercial banks in Guyana using prudential ratios that capture the five essential dimensions of a bank’s operation. It applies the CAMEL rating system and Linear Discriminant Analysis on quarterly prudential ratios of all the commercial banks that operated in Guyana between 2017 and 2021. The CAMEL analysis reveals that Demerara Bank Limited (DBL) is the best-performing bank, and the Guyana Bank for Trade and Industry (GBTI) is the worst-performing bank. However, the one-way ANOVA technique suggests no significant differences between the average values of the prudential ratios in the CAMEL model. Based on the Linear Discriminant Analysis, only four ratios differentiate between good-performing and poor-performing banks. These findings provide valuable insights to regulators that employ these tools to identify poor-performing banks to safeguard the stability and soundness of their domestic banking system. By applying the CAMEL rating system and Linear Discriminant Analysis simultaneously in Guyana, an emerging economy in the Caribbean, for the first time, the study contributes to the literature that utilizes these tools to assess the performance of commercial banks.
南美洲圭亚那商业银行业绩的骆驼模型分析和判别分析
本研究利用反映银行运营五个基本方面的审慎比率对圭亚那商业银行的业绩进行评估。研究采用 CAMEL 评级系统和线性判别分析,对 2017 年至 2021 年期间在圭亚那运营的所有商业银行的季度审慎比率进行了分析。CAMEL 分析显示,德梅拉拉银行有限公司(DBL)是表现最好的银行,圭亚那贸易和工业银行(GBTI)是表现最差的银行。然而,单向方差分析技术表明,CAMEL 模型中的审慎比率平均值之间没有明显差异。根据线性判别分析,只有四个比率能区分表现好的银行和表现差的银行。这些发现为监管机构提供了宝贵的启示,他们可以利用这些工具识别表现不佳的银行,以保障国内银行系统的稳定和健全。圭亚那是加勒比地区的一个新兴经济体,本研究首次将 CAMEL 评级系统和线性判别分析同时应用于圭亚那,为利用这些工具评估商业银行业绩的文献做出了贡献。
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