Why forest economy can become a driving force of the development of BRICS cooperaion

A. Pyzhev
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Abstract

The changing global geopolitical and economic landscape generates growing interest in new strategic alliances among the world’s fastest growing economies. This is certainly true for the BRICS countries, whose importance for the contemporary world cannot be overestimated. As soon as the group begins to turn into a more institutionalized organization, the question of establishing closer and more numerous economic and social ties will arise. The paper analyzes the trends in the development of the forest economy in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa over the past two decades. It assesses each country’s share in the global timber harvesting and its position on the international market for forest products. Accounting for slightly less than 1/3 of the global annual harvest, the BRICS countries have boosted production and export of their forest products in the XXI century. According to our calculations, only India and China’s production and export of sawn timber and wood panels increased tenfold. The paper examines conditions for turning the forest economy into one of the drivers of cooperation between the BRICS countries and the existing financial, political and environmental constraints. Such cooperation will be possible if there is sufficient demand for forestry products in BRICS; it will require measures to radically improve the logistics of trade between the countries, given their great mutual remoteness. The important role of the BRICS countries in the global forest economy can become an important factor in the further development of cooperation within the group, especially after the expansion expected in 2024.
森林经济为何能成为金砖国家合作发展的推动力?
不断变化的全球地缘政治和经济格局使世界上增长最快的经济体对建立新的战略联盟越来越感兴趣。金砖五国当然也是如此,它们对当今世界的重要性无论怎样估计都不过分。一旦金砖国家开始成为一个更加制度化的组织,建立更紧密、更多的经济和社会联系的问题就会出现。本文分析了巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国和南非过去二十年森林经济的发展趋势。它评估了每个国家在全球木材采伐中的份额及其在国际林产品市场上的地位。金砖五国占全球年采伐量的比例略低于 1/3,但在二十一世纪,它们的林产品产量和出口量都有所增长。根据我们的计算,只有印度和中国的锯材和木板生产和出口增长了十倍。本文探讨了将森林经济转变为金砖国家合作驱动力之一的条件,以及现有的金融、政治和环境制约因素。如果金砖五国对林业产品有足够的需求,这种合作就有可能实现;鉴于金砖五国相距遥远,这就需要采取措施,从根本上改善各国之间的贸易物流。金砖五国在全球森林经济中的重要作用可以成为进一步发展集团内部合作的重要因素,尤其是在 2024 年预期扩大之后。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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