Statistical inference for GQARCH-Itô-jumps model based on the realized range volatility

IF 1.2 4区 数学 Q3 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Jin Yu Fu, Jin Guan Lin, Guangying Liu, Hong Xia Hao
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This article introduces a novel approach that unifies two types of models: one is the continuous-time jump-diffusion used to model high-frequency market financial data, and the other is discrete-time GQARCH for modeling low-frequency financial data by embedding the discrete GQARCH structure with jumps in the instantaneous volatility process. This model is named GQARCH-Itô-Jumps model. Quasi-likelihood functions for the low-frequency GQARCH structure are developed for the parametric estimations. In the quasi-likelihood functions, for high-frequency financial data, the realized range-based estimations are adopted as the ‘observations’, rather than the realized return-based volatility estimators which entail the loss of intra-day information of the price movements. Meanwhile, the asymptotic properties are mainly established for the proposed estimators in the case of finite activity jumps. Moreover, simulation studies and some financial data are implemented to check the finite sample performance of the proposed methodology.

基于已实现波动范围的 GQARCH-Itô-jumps 模型的统计推断
本文介绍了一种统一两类模型的新方法:一类是用于高频市场金融数据建模的连续时间跳跃扩散模型,另一类是用于低频金融数据建模的离散时间 GQARCH 模型,其方法是在瞬时波动率过程中嵌入带有跳跃的离散 GQARCH 结构。该模型被命名为 GQARCH-Itô-Jumps 模型。为参数估计开发了低频 GQARCH 结构的准概率函数。在准似然函数中,对于高频金融数据,采用基于已实现范围的估计作为 "观测值",而不是基于已实现收益率的波动率估计,因为后者会损失价格变动的日内信息。同时,主要针对有限活动跳跃的情况,建立了所提出的估计器的渐近特性。此外,还通过模拟研究和一些金融数据来检验建议方法的有限样本性能。
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来源期刊
Journal of Time Series Analysis
Journal of Time Series Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
0.00%
发文量
39
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: During the last 30 years Time Series Analysis has become one of the most important and widely used branches of Mathematical Statistics. Its fields of application range from neurophysiology to astrophysics and it covers such well-known areas as economic forecasting, study of biological data, control systems, signal processing and communications and vibrations engineering. The Journal of Time Series Analysis started in 1980, has since become the leading journal in its field, publishing papers on both fundamental theory and applications, as well as review papers dealing with recent advances in major areas of the subject and short communications on theoretical developments. The editorial board consists of many of the world''s leading experts in Time Series Analysis.
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