{"title":"Managing Demographic Transitions: A Comprehensive Analysis of China's Path to Economic Sustainability","authors":"Yuxin Hu","doi":"arxiv-2312.11806","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This article presents an analysis of China's economic evolution amidst\ndemographic changes from 1990 to 2050, offering valuable insights for academia\nand policymakers. It uniquely intertwines various economic theories with\nempirical data, examining the impact of an aging population, urbanization, and\nfamily dynamics on labor, demand, and productivity. The study's novelty lies in\nits integration of Classical, Neoclassical, and Endogenous Growth theories,\nalongside models like Barro and Sala-i-Martin, to contextualize China's\neconomic trajectory. It provides a forward-looking perspective, utilizing\neconometric methods to predict future trends, and suggests practical policy\nimplications. This comprehensive approach sheds light on managing demographic\ntransitions in a global context, making it a significant contribution to the\nfield of demographic economics.","PeriodicalId":501487,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - QuantFin - Economics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2312.11806","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This article presents an analysis of China's economic evolution amidst
demographic changes from 1990 to 2050, offering valuable insights for academia
and policymakers. It uniquely intertwines various economic theories with
empirical data, examining the impact of an aging population, urbanization, and
family dynamics on labor, demand, and productivity. The study's novelty lies in
its integration of Classical, Neoclassical, and Endogenous Growth theories,
alongside models like Barro and Sala-i-Martin, to contextualize China's
economic trajectory. It provides a forward-looking perspective, utilizing
econometric methods to predict future trends, and suggests practical policy
implications. This comprehensive approach sheds light on managing demographic
transitions in a global context, making it a significant contribution to the
field of demographic economics.