Correcting spot power variation estimator via Edgeworth expansion

Pub Date : 2023-12-18 DOI:10.1007/s00184-023-00935-z
Lidan He, Qiang Liu, Zhi Liu, Andrea Bucci
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Abstract

In this paper, we propose an estimator of power spot volatility of order p through Edgeworth expansion. We provide a precise description of how to compute the expansion and the first four cumulants are given in an explicit form. We also construct feasible confidence intervals (one-sided and two-sided) for the pth power spot volatility estimator by using Edgeworth expansion. A Monte Carlo simulation study shows that the confidence intervals and probability density curve based on Edgeworth expansion perform better than the conventional case based on Normal approximation.

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通过埃奇沃斯扩展修正点功率变化估计器
在本文中,我们提出了一种通过埃奇沃斯扩展估算 p 阶幂级数现货波动率的方法。我们提供了如何计算扩展的精确描述,并以明确的形式给出了前四个累积量。我们还利用埃奇沃斯扩展为 pth 幂现货波动率估计值构建了可行的置信区间(单边和双边)。蒙特卡罗模拟研究表明,基于埃奇沃斯扩展的置信区间和概率密度曲线比基于正态近似的传统情况表现更好。
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