Influence of atmospheric conditions and solar activity on the underground karst system of the Ponor Mountain

Abstract

This study focuses on the meteorological parameters of the near atmosphere, the surface of the Earth and karst areas, such as temperature of water and air, relative humidity, and wind speed. These parameters are significantly influenced by solar activity, which in turn affects the temperature distribution in karst underground cavities, specifically in the “Kolkina Dupka” cave located within the Ponor Mountain of the Western Balkan Mountains range in Bulgaria. This is the deepest and longest cave in Bulgaria with a length of more than 20 km and a calculated depth of 800 m. Meteorological data within the cave was collected using data loggers, while surface weather data was sourced from National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology of Bulgaria. Solar activity information was obtained from the website of the Royal Observatory of Belgium. The impact of solar activity on karst regions is substantial and affects temperature, precipitation, and atmospheric circulation. Changes in solar radiation can alter heat absorption on the surface of the Earth, leading to shifts in temperature and precipitation patterns. We performed statistical analysis and modeling to understand the complex interactions between Earth's near atmosphere, the karst system of the Kolkina Dupka cave, and the role of air and water flows in regulating cave temperatures. Results showed a significant negative correlation between air temperatures in the deep underground airflows (at a depth of 130 m below the surface) and temperatures at the cave entrance (at a depth of 40 m during the winter months. Conversely, during spring and summer, an intriguing reversal occurs where higher external temperatures are linked to increased air temperatures at the cave entrance, accompanied by lower temperatures in the deeper zone. Furthermore, by employing “lagged correlations” in result analysis, investigating correlations between internal temperatures and external temperatures over the preceding and subsequent seven days, cyclic variations in heat exchange between the near-surface atmospheric layer and the underground temperatures within the karst system were observed. Specifically, a consistent temperature elevation was noted at the cave entrance three days prior to an increase in external temperatures during the spring-summer season. This temporal relationship was also observed in the solar activity data, where an increase in temperature at a depth of -40 m was registered three days prior to the escalation of solar activity within the measured range of 2800 MHz. The obtained results formed the basis for the development of new theories in solar-terrestrial physics. In summary, there is a connection between solar activity and Earth's climate, but it is not a direct and simple correlation, and it is just one piece of the larger puzzle that shapes temperature variations of the Earth. Climate science involves studying these interactions over extended periods to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the climate system of the Earth.