Analyzing the relationship between economic growth and environmental deterioration by evaluating the environmental Kuznets curve hypothesis: a case study of a group of oil-producing countries from( 2003- 2022)

Idris Ramadan, Mardin Mahsum
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Abstract

One of the main objectives that nations strive to accomplish through the use and optimization of natural resources, i.e., maintaining a clean environment, is the promotion of sustainable economic growth. The study aims to analyze the relationship between economic growth and environmental deterioration and to achieve the main hypotheses of the environmental Kuznets curve in the group of Arab oil countries during the period 2003–2022. To accomplish this purpose, the study used a descriptive and analytical strategy that relied on time series data for each country as well as sectional time series (panel data), as well as the usage of (integrating regression, PRM, and FEM REM), Considering that the average per capita carbon dioxide emissions is the environmental variable and the average per capita GDP is economic growth and energy consumption as a mediating variable, Finally, the study concluded that there is a positive relationship between economic growth (linear) and environmental degradation and a negative relationship between economic growth (quadratic) and environmental degradation; that is, the hypotheses of the environmental Kuznets curve invert (u) shape coincide in the selected countries in the time series and sectional time series analyses (Panel Data). However, the turning points are outside the range of the average per capita GDP in the Arab oil-producing countries, implying that the per capita GDP in these countries has not reached a level conducive to sustainable economic growth. Finally, since energy consumption has a significant impact on environmental degradation, these countries must increase energy efficiency, transition to clean technologies, and expand the use of renewable energy in their productive sectors.
通过评估环境库兹涅茨曲线假说分析经济增长与环境恶化之间的关系:2003-2022 年一组产油国的案例研究
各国通过利用和优化自然资源,即保持清洁的环境,努力实现的主要目标之一是促进可持续的经济增长。本研究旨在分析2003-2022年阿拉伯石油国家集团经济增长与环境恶化之间的关系,并实现环境库兹涅茨曲线的主要假设。为了实现这一目的,本研究采用了一种描述性和分析性的策略,该策略依赖于每个国家的时间序列数据以及分段时间序列(面板数据),以及使用(整合回归,PRM和FEM REM),考虑到人均二氧化碳排放量是环境变量,人均GDP是经济增长和能源消耗作为中介变量,最后,研究发现:经济增长与环境退化呈线性正相关,经济增长与环境退化呈二次型负相关;也就是说,环境库兹涅茨曲线倒(u)形的假设在时间序列和分段时间序列分析(面板数据)的选定国家中是一致的。然而,这些转折点不在阿拉伯产油国人均国内生产总值的平均范围内,这意味着这些国家的人均国内生产总值尚未达到有利于可持续经济增长的水平。最后,由于能源消费对环境退化有重大影响,这些国家必须提高能源效率,向清洁技术过渡,并在其生产部门扩大可再生能源的使用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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