{"title":"The COVID-19 pandemic and house price convergence in Poland","authors":"Mateusz Tomal","doi":"10.1007/s10901-023-10090-6","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on price convergence in the housing market is largely unknown. This paper aims to assess the impact of the pandemic on the convergence of sales and rental housing prices. The residential markets in Polish voivodeship capitals were chosen as a case study. The convergence evaluation was based on a local linear version of the log <i>t</i> regression test, which allowed the estimation of a time-varying convergence speed parameter. The causal effect of the pandemic on convergence was examined using a Bayesian structural time series model. The study results revealed that the pandemic led to divergence in the primary sales housing market, growth convergence in the secondary sales housing market, and a weakening growth convergence in the rental housing market. Finally, this paper provides the R function logt that enables running the local linear and dummy variable log <i>t</i> regression tests.</p>","PeriodicalId":47558,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Housing and the Built Environment","volume":"60 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Housing and the Built Environment","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10901-023-10090-6","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on price convergence in the housing market is largely unknown. This paper aims to assess the impact of the pandemic on the convergence of sales and rental housing prices. The residential markets in Polish voivodeship capitals were chosen as a case study. The convergence evaluation was based on a local linear version of the log t regression test, which allowed the estimation of a time-varying convergence speed parameter. The causal effect of the pandemic on convergence was examined using a Bayesian structural time series model. The study results revealed that the pandemic led to divergence in the primary sales housing market, growth convergence in the secondary sales housing market, and a weakening growth convergence in the rental housing market. Finally, this paper provides the R function logt that enables running the local linear and dummy variable log t regression tests.
期刊介绍：
The Journal of Housing and the Built Environment is a scholarly journal presenting the results of scientific research and new developments in policy and practice to a diverse readership of specialists, practitioners and policy-makers. This refereed journal covers the fields of housing, spatial planning, building and urban development. The journal guarantees high scientific quality by a double blind review procedure. Next to that, the editorial board discusses each article as well. Leading scholars in the field of housing, spatial planning and urban development publish regularly in Journal of Housing and the Built Environment. The journal publishes articles from scientists all over the world, both Western and non-Western, providing a truly international platform for developments in both theory and practice in the fields of housing, spatial planning, building and urban development.
Journal of Housing and the Built Environment (HBE) has a wide scope and includes all topics dealing with people-environment relations. Topics concern social relations within the built environment as well as the physicals component of the built environment. As such the journal brings together social science and engineering. HBE is of interest for scientists like housing researchers, social geographers, (urban) planners and architects. Furthermore it presents a forum for practitioners to present their experiences in new developments on policy and practice. Because of its unique structure of research articles and policy and practice contributions, HBE provides a forum where science and practice can be confronted. Finally, each volume of HBE contains one special issue, in which recent developments on one particular topic are discussed in depth.
The aim of Journal of Housing and the Built Environment is to give international exposure to recent research and policy and practice developments on the built environment and thereby open up a forum wherein re searchers can exchange ideas and develop contacts. In this way HBE seeks to enhance the quality of research in the field and disseminate the results to a wider audience. Its scope is intended to interest scientists as well as policy-makers, both in government and in organizations dealing with housing and urban issues.
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