The impacts of agricultural productivity on structural transformation, and poverty alleviation in Africa: evidence from Guinea-Bissau

IF 2.3 4区 经济学 Q3 BUSINESS
Júlio Vicente Cateia, Maurício Vaz Lobo Bittencourt, Terciane Sabadini Carvalho, Luc Savard
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze the impacts of improved agricultural productivity (IAP) on structural transformation and poverty in Guinea-Bissau (2014–2030) using a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We found evidence of a positive effect of IAP on growth and sectoral output. Increased wealth accumulation and labor savings in agriculture have favored reinvestments in the manufacturing and services sectors and rural workers’ outflows from agriculture. There are long-term positive welfare effects from rising real income and household consumption. The poor in rural and urban settings benefited the most. We suggest an agricultural development agenda that may contribute to structural transformation in this country and improve the living standards of the poor.

Abstract Image

非洲农业生产力对结构转型和减贫的影响:来自几内亚比绍的证据
本研究旨在利用递归动态可计算一般均衡(CGE)模型,分析2014-2030年几内亚比绍农业生产率提高对结构转型和贫困的影响。我们发现了IAP对增长和部门产出产生积极影响的证据。农业财富积累和劳动力节约的增加有利于制造业和服务业的再投资以及农村劳动力从农业流出。实际收入和家庭消费的增加会带来长期的积极福利效应。农村和城市的穷人受益最大。我们提出的农业发展议程可能有助于这个国家的结构转型和提高穷人的生活水平。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
6.20%
发文量
30
期刊介绍: The Journal of Productivity Analysis publishes theoretical and applied research that addresses issues involving the measurement, explanation, and improvement of productivity. The broad scope of the journal encompasses productivity-related developments spanning the disciplines of economics, the management sciences, operations research, and business and public administration. Topics covered in the journal include, but are not limited to, productivity theory, organizational design, index number theory, and related foundations of productivity analysis. The journal also publishes research on computational methods that are employed in productivity analysis, including econometric and mathematical programming techniques, and empirical research based on data at all levels of aggregation, ranging from aggregate macroeconomic data to disaggregate microeconomic data. The empirical research illustrates the application of theory and techniques to the measurement of productivity, and develops implications for the design of managerial strategies and public policy to enhance productivity. Officially cited as: J Prod Anal
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