{"title":"The impacts of agricultural productivity on structural transformation, and poverty alleviation in Africa: evidence from Guinea-Bissau","authors":"Júlio Vicente Cateia, Maurício Vaz Lobo Bittencourt, Terciane Sabadini Carvalho, Luc Savard","doi":"10.1007/s11123-023-00703-1","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study aims to analyze the impacts of improved agricultural productivity (IAP) on structural transformation and poverty in Guinea-Bissau (2014–2030) using a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We found evidence of a positive effect of IAP on growth and sectoral output. Increased wealth accumulation and labor savings in agriculture have favored reinvestments in the manufacturing and services sectors and rural workers’ outflows from agriculture. There are long-term positive welfare effects from rising real income and household consumption. The poor in rural and urban settings benefited the most. We suggest an agricultural development agenda that may contribute to structural transformation in this country and improve the living standards of the poor.</p>","PeriodicalId":16870,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Productivity Analysis","volume":"57 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.3000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Productivity Analysis","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s11123-023-00703-1","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"BUSINESS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This study aims to analyze the impacts of improved agricultural productivity (IAP) on structural transformation and poverty in Guinea-Bissau (2014–2030) using a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. We found evidence of a positive effect of IAP on growth and sectoral output. Increased wealth accumulation and labor savings in agriculture have favored reinvestments in the manufacturing and services sectors and rural workers’ outflows from agriculture. There are long-term positive welfare effects from rising real income and household consumption. The poor in rural and urban settings benefited the most. We suggest an agricultural development agenda that may contribute to structural transformation in this country and improve the living standards of the poor.
期刊介绍:
The Journal of Productivity Analysis publishes theoretical and applied research that addresses issues involving the measurement, explanation, and improvement of productivity. The broad scope of the journal encompasses productivity-related developments spanning the disciplines of economics, the management sciences, operations research, and business and public administration. Topics covered in the journal include, but are not limited to, productivity theory, organizational design, index number theory, and related foundations of productivity analysis. The journal also publishes research on computational methods that are employed in productivity analysis, including econometric and mathematical programming techniques, and empirical research based on data at all levels of aggregation, ranging from aggregate macroeconomic data to disaggregate microeconomic data. The empirical research illustrates the application of theory and techniques to the measurement of productivity, and develops implications for the design of managerial strategies and public policy to enhance productivity.
Officially cited as: J Prod Anal