{"title":"European Forest Sector in a Turbulent World","authors":"A. Maarit I. Kallio","doi":"10.1561/112.00000569","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>Since 2020, the outlook for the European forest sector has been\nunusually uncertain. After the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic\nseemed to take off, Russia invaded Ukraine. In addition to\nhuman suffering, the war has economic consequences. Comparing\nscenarios quantified by global forest sector model projections, this\nstudy examines the impacts of the changes in the operation environment\nof the sector caused by the war on the European forest sector.\nThey seem to be moderate in the EU. Chemical pulp production\nbenefits from higher electricity prices and less rivalry from Russia.\nEnergy price increase accelerates the decrease in the production\nof printing and writing papers and harms the mechanical forest\nindustry that also suffers from lower GDP growths. Due to the\nembargo on Russian wood, the EU roundwood harvests decrease\nonly slightly compared to the reference projection. The Russian\nforest sector loses economically much more than that in any other\nregion due to the war. Some recent EU policies will likely affect\nthe EU forest sector economically more than the war does.</p>","PeriodicalId":54831,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Forest Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.7000,"publicationDate":"2024-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Forest Economics","FirstCategoryId":"97","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1561/112.00000569","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"农林科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Since 2020, the outlook for the European forest sector has been
unusually uncertain. After the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic
seemed to take off, Russia invaded Ukraine. In addition to
human suffering, the war has economic consequences. Comparing
scenarios quantified by global forest sector model projections, this
study examines the impacts of the changes in the operation environment
of the sector caused by the war on the European forest sector.
They seem to be moderate in the EU. Chemical pulp production
benefits from higher electricity prices and less rivalry from Russia.
Energy price increase accelerates the decrease in the production
of printing and writing papers and harms the mechanical forest
industry that also suffers from lower GDP growths. Due to the
embargo on Russian wood, the EU roundwood harvests decrease
only slightly compared to the reference projection. The Russian
forest sector loses economically much more than that in any other
region due to the war. Some recent EU policies will likely affect
the EU forest sector economically more than the war does.
期刊介绍：
The journal covers all aspects of forest economics, and publishes scientific papers in subject areas such as the following:
forest management problems: economics of silviculture, forest regulation and operational activities, managerial economics;
forest industry analysis: economics of processing, industrial organization problems, demand and supply analysis, technological change, international trade of forest products;
multiple use of forests: valuation of non-market priced goods and services, cost-benefit analysis of environment and timber production, external effects of forestry and forest industry;
forest policy analysis: market and intervention failures, regulation of forest management, ownership, taxation;
land use and economic development: deforestation and land use problem, national resource accounting, contribution to national and regional income and employment.
forestry and climate change: using forestry to mitigate climate change, economic analysis of bioenergy, adaption of forestry to climate change.
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