A Spatial Approach to the Study of the Electoral Resurgence of the Extreme Right in Southern Spain

IF 16.4 1区化学 Q1 CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

Accounts of Chemical Research Pub Date : 2022-04-04 DOI:10.1007/s40980-022-00105-1

Ricardo Iglesias-Pascual, Federico Benassi, Virginia Paloma

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引用次数: 2

Abstract

This study analyzes at a local level (i.e. census tract) the spatial patterns and main contextual factors related to the electoral resurgence of the extreme-right party (VOX) in Southern Spain (Andalusia) in 2018 and 2019. The 2019 electoral data was associated with the percentage of total foreign-born population, degree of territorial concentration of economic migrants, average income level, percentage of elderly people, urban/rural areas and the percentage of vote for VOX in 2018 (t − 1). We used a global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis to detect the spatial patterns of the vote for VOX and a spatial Durbin regression model to assess the role of contextual variables and spatial effects. The results underline the importance of space in modelling the vote for VOX and point to the existence of a spatial diffusion process. Previous electoral behavior and the urban milieu also play key roles in explaining the vote for VOX. Moreover, the territorial concentration of economic migrants is negatively related with the vote for VOX, which illustrates the positive character of interracial contact.

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西班牙南部极右翼选举复苏的空间研究方法

本研究分析了2018年和2019年西班牙南部(安达卢西亚)极右翼政党(VOX)在选举中复苏的空间格局和主要背景因素。2019年的选举数据与外国出生人口总数的百分比、经济移民的地域集中程度、平均收入水平、老年人百分比、城市/农村地区以及2018年VOX的投票百分比(t−1)有关。我们使用全局和局部空间自相关分析来检测VOX投票的空间模式，并使用空间德宾回归模型来评估上下文变量和空间效应的作用。结果强调了空间在VOX投票建模中的重要性，并指出存在空间扩散过程。以前的选举行为和城市环境也在解释VOX的投票中发挥了关键作用。此外，经济移民的地域集中与VOX的投票呈负相关，这说明了种族间接触的积极特征。

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来源期刊

Accounts of Chemical Research 化学-化学综合

CiteScore

31.40

自引率

1.10%

发文量

312

审稿时长

2 months

期刊介绍： Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance. Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.