Applying Deep Learning to Calibrate Stochastic Volatility Models

Abir Sridi, Paul Bilokon
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Abstract

Stochastic volatility models, where the volatility is a stochastic process, can capture most of the essential stylized facts of implied volatility surfaces and give more realistic dynamics of the volatility smile or skew. However, they come with the significant issue that they take too long to calibrate. Alternative calibration methods based on Deep Learning (DL) techniques have been recently used to build fast and accurate solutions to the calibration problem. Huge and Savine developed a Differential Deep Learning (DDL) approach, where Machine Learning models are trained on samples of not only features and labels but also differentials of labels to features. The present work aims to apply the DDL technique to price vanilla European options (i.e. the calibration instruments), more specifically, puts when the underlying asset follows a Heston model and then calibrate the model on the trained network. DDL allows for fast training and accurate pricing. The trained neural network dramatically reduces Heston calibration's computation time. In this work, we also introduce different regularisation techniques, and we apply them notably in the case of the DDL. We compare their performance in reducing overfitting and improving the generalisation error. The DDL performance is also compared to the classical DL (without differentiation) one in the case of Feed-Forward Neural Networks. We show that the DDL outperforms the DL.
应用深度学习校准随机波动率模型
随机波动率模型,其中波动率是一个随机过程,可以捕获隐含波动率表面的大多数基本风格化事实,并给出波动率微笑或倾斜的更真实的动态。然而,它们也有一个重要的问题,即需要很长时间才能校准。基于深度学习(DL)技术的替代校准方法最近已被用于构建快速准确的校准问题解决方案。Huge和Savine开发了一种差分深度学习(DDL)方法,在这种方法中,机器学习模型不仅可以在特征和标签的样本上进行训练,还可以在标签与特征的差异样本上进行训练。目前的工作旨在将DDL技术应用于香草欧洲期权(即校准工具)的定价,更具体地说,当标的资产遵循heston模型时,然后在训练过的网络上校准模型。DDL允许快速培训和准确定价。训练后的神经网络大大减少了赫斯顿校准的计算时间。在这项工作中,我们还介绍了不同的正则化技术,并在DDL的情况下特别应用它们。我们比较了它们在减少过拟合和改善泛化误差方面的性能。在前馈神经网络的情况下,ddl的性能也与经典的DL(无微分)进行了比较。我们证明了DDL优于DL。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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