Assessing the financial sustainability of a rural livestock practice: a case of Pakistan

IF 1.5 Q3 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
Madeeha Omer Lakhani, Sana Tauseef, Wajid Ali Chattha
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Abstract

Purpose

This research aims to investigate the feasibility of formalizing an old, informal livestock financing practice in Pakistan known as Adhyara through assessment of estimated return and risk.

Design/methodology/approach

The hedonic pricing model was employed to estimate the impact of breed, weight, pregnancy status and milk yield on cattle sales price, and appropriate estimates were used for monetization. The stochastic simulation was then used to estimate the distribution of capital returns for investors in the informal livestock practice. Primary data on animal prices and attributes were obtained from a survey of dairy farms and data on terms of Adhyara deal were obtained from a survey of nomad pastoralists and current investors. In-depth interviews were also conducted with different stakeholders to get insights into this informal livestock practice and social elements.

Findings

Results from the hedonic model show that the animal prices in Pakistan are highly variable depending on the animal attributes of breed, weight, milk yield and pregnancy status with an average value of PKR (Pakistani Rupee) 191,771 and standard deviation of PKR 66,762. Our stochastic simulation reveals mean estimated real return of 24 per cent. This return is competitive considering local and international investment alternatives.

Social implications

The research identifies a lucrative and market competitive investment option and thus opens the window of opportunity to introduce grass root entrepreneurship in the livestock sector. Recommended formalization of this traditional livestock practice can boost investment creating substantial potential for the uplift of local communities and simultaneously contribute towards the goals of poverty eradication, food provision and employment generation for women.

Originality/value

This research lays out the possibility of formalizing the practice of a traditional livestock financing in an agricultural country.

评估农村畜牧业的财务可持续性:以巴基斯坦为例
本研究旨在通过评估估计收益和风险,探讨巴基斯坦Adhyara这一古老的非正式牲畜融资做法正规化的可行性。设计/方法/方法采用享乐定价模型估计品种、体重、妊娠状态和产奶量对牛销售价格的影响,并使用适当的估计值进行货币化。然后,利用随机模拟来估计非正式畜牧实践中投资者的资本回报分布。有关动物价格和属性的主要数据来自对奶牛场的调查,有关Adhyara交易条款的数据来自对游牧牧民和现有投资者的调查。还与不同的利益相关者进行了深入访谈,以深入了解这种非正式的畜牧业实践和社会因素。hedonic模型的结果表明,巴基斯坦的动物价格变化很大,这取决于动物的品种、体重、产奶量和怀孕状况,平均PKR为191,771,标准差PKR为66,762。我们的随机模拟显示,平均估计实际回报率为24%。考虑到本地和国际投资选择,这一回报率具有竞争力。社会意义该研究确定了一种有利可图且具有市场竞争力的投资选择,从而打开了在畜牧业引入基层企业家精神的机会之窗。建议将这种传统畜牧业正规化,可以促进投资,为提升当地社区创造巨大潜力,同时有助于实现消除贫困、提供粮食和为妇女创造就业机会的目标。原创性/价值本研究提出了在一个农业国家使传统畜牧业融资实践正规化的可能性。
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来源期刊
Agricultural Finance Review
Agricultural Finance Review AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY-
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
18.80%
发文量
24
期刊介绍: Agricultural Finance Review provides a rigorous forum for the publication of theory and empirical work related solely to issues in agricultural and agribusiness finance. Contributions come from academic and industry experts across the world and address a wide range of topics including: Agricultural finance, Agricultural policy related to agricultural finance and risk issues, Agricultural lending and credit issues, Farm credit, Businesses and financial risks affecting agriculture and agribusiness, Agricultural policies affecting farm or agribusiness risks and profitability, Risk management strategies including the use of futures and options, Rural credit in developing economies, Microfinance and microcredit applied to agriculture and rural development, Financial efficiency, Agriculture insurance and reinsurance. Agricultural Finance Review is committed to research addressing (1) factors affecting or influencing the financing of agriculture and agribusiness in both developed and developing nations; (2) the broadest aspect of risk assessment and risk management strategies affecting agriculture; and (3) government policies affecting farm profitability, liquidity, and access to credit.
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